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铿锵终于拿三分
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女足奥运会亚洲区预选赛第三轮天朝最终有惊无险2：0泰国
/ F4 t3 J' f9 }7 W: T9 [7 V& d 本场比赛之前天朝队仅仅取得了两场平局，一球不进！前面两场比赛天朝队分别战平韩国和朝鲜。本战之后天朝队积分达到5分排名第三，新科世界杯冠军曰本队三战全胜基本上一只脚已经踏上去的班车，朝鲜两胜一平排名次席。但是朝鲜还没有与本次比赛公认为最弱的泰国队交锋，因此再拿三分问题不到。下轮面对曰本对，朝鲜队打平基本上天朝队出现权就不掌握在自己手上了。
: I7 j6 U8 D5 [2 A 本轮势必要拿到够多净胜球的天朝女足姑娘们，仅仅依靠对手的一个失误先进一球，最后仅取得两个净胜球，因此出线形势依旧不容乐观。+ t3 O/ |, R/ f
天朝队即使最后两轮爆冷击败澳大利亚和曰本取得两连胜，假如曰本和朝鲜战平，或者朝鲜大比分战胜泰国净胜球多于天朝队，天朝队出线形势依旧不容乐观。
, `" e" G" l$ C, q* K 本场比赛下半场，球迷们撕心肺腑的为女足姑娘们呐喊加油助威。天朝姑娘们应该放下压力和包袱，全力以赴，打出水平。" v% _* g: g7 W) N" B
“天朝队，再进一个”“张艳茹，好样的。”“马晓旭，进一个”···现场球迷给了姑娘们足够大的支持···就像央视著名解说刘建宏倡议的那样，济南球迷已经逐渐给了姑娘们足够大的支持。希望女足姑娘们，竭尽全力打好最后两场比赛···
0 f* J$ P0 A& M5 Y$ h$ T% {' V 出线形势分析：天朝队最后两轮取得连胜，才能确保出线，取得四分出线形势仍然不容乐观。但是这样的情况难度可想而知。
0 m8 a7 E0 A4 w) u9 R; W1 ` 倘若中归队后两轮取得4分，积分只有9分，出现权还得看朝鲜和曰本的脸色。因为两队现在已经分别拿到9分和7分。而朝鲜队虽然下一轮遭遇曰本，但最后一轮打泰国已经为她们预留了3分的冲刺机会。即便朝鲜队输给曰本，赢了泰国她们也有10分，女足打澳洲和曰本必须拿到5分及以上。, D0 M' F) p% h' V0 b, I
对于女足最为有利的事情是这样的：天朝队后两轮连克澳洲曰本两强，朝鲜队在曰本和泰国身上最多只能够拿到3分，这样天朝女足将会前往伦敦。但这个台本不好演，首先现在的天朝女足连胜澳大利亚与曰本很难很难，何况澳大利亚理论上还有机会还能去搏一搏。其次，即便天朝队连胜，还需要看朝鲜人的脸色，对手第四轮打平曰本就可确保晋级，最后一轮朝鲜队在泰国身上犯错几率为零。
* c k B- n# o) q }( K 即便朝鲜队打平泰国输给曰本，天朝队也需要在与澳洲和曰本队的比赛中至少拿到3分，并且尽可能的多进球，因为中朝两队的净胜球现在都是2个，相互交手还是0-0。朝鲜队输给泰国的情况我们可以忽略不计，不去分析。3 q9 T# s7 f' X
综上所述，女足最好连胜澳、日，朝鲜队后两轮拿分不多于3分，天朝队才有希望，死磕日澳，希望本就渺茫，指望向来纪律严明、作风顽强的朝鲜人犯错，也非易事。9 v1 n N* K: E8 i2 A7 x/ g
憧憬，某种意义上来讲其实是一种不好的习惯，因为那意味着你还做不到某一件事情，憧憬天朝女足在后两轮小宇宙如何爆发也是一种无奈，赢泰国不再轻松，试问这样的女足去了伦敦又能怎样，只不过是给某些人的政绩上不抹黑而已，仅此而已。 |
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