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[lastpost] => 2801490 昨日美国 Solana 现货 ETF 净流入 670 万美元，总净流入已达 8.84 亿美元 1769669226 比推快讯
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分析师：市场低迷导致 CEX 交易量急剧萎缩，熊市进程或已走完 25%
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比推消息，据彭博社报道，自去年 10 月从历史高位暴跌以来，比特币价格已下跌超过 35%。但对于 Coinbase Global Inc.、Gemini Space Station Inc. 和 Bullish 等交易平台而言，打击更为沉重。作为其业务核心引擎的交易量正在急剧萎缩，过去三个月拖累股价下跌 40% 至 55%，迫使分析师大幅下调预期。
多数加密货币交易平台的大部分收入来自交易手续费。当交易活动枯竭时，营收便随之下滑。Clear Street 分析师 Owen Lau 估计，Coinbase 第四季度的交易量可能同比下降 40%，至 2640 亿美元。他指出，1 月份的交易活动趋势进一步走低，使得本季度迄今的年化交易量不到去年同期水平的一半。
花旗集团数字资产股票研究主管 Peter Christiansen 表示，价格上涨时，更多人因为害怕错失机会而参与交易。但如果遭遇逆风，就很难建立动能。
近期，加密货币股票还受到更广泛股市中投资者撤离风险资产的影响，原因包括对人工智能成本上升影响的担忧、地缘政治不确定性增加以及资金从科技板块的普遍轮动。比特币 1 月份下跌近 11%，为连续第四个月下跌，创下自 2018 年（即 2017 年首次代币发行热潮后崩盘期间）以来最长的连跌纪录。
分析师表示，受加密货币市场低迷影响，Gemini 的盈利时间表可能被迫延后。Needham & Co. 分析师 John Todaro 指出，虽然该公司原本预计在 2027 年接近盈亏平衡，但现在很可能推迟至 2028 年左右。而 Bullish 的 1 月份交易量可能同比下降约 28%。
Kaiko 研究分析师 Laurens Fraussen 表示：就我认为当前所处周期阶段而言，可能已经走完了约 25%。自峰值以来我们已经历了大约三个月，因此我估计还需要六到九个月才能看到显著复苏。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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