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由于美国通胀数据低于预期,比特币价格飙升至逼近 9 万美元。(转)
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美国公布的最新通胀数据远低于预期,提振了市场对美联储进一步降息的乐观情绪,比特币价格应声上涨。
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具体而言,2025年12月18日,美国劳工统计局发布了姗姗来迟的2025年11月消费者价格指数(CPI)数据。报告显示,11月份CPI同比上涨2.7%,远低于经济学家预测的3.1%,也低于9月份的3.0%。
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美国通胀率降至2.7%,低于预期的3.1%。pic.twitter.com/PPbgivoPcF
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— TheCryptoBasic (@the加密货币basic)2025年12月18日
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2 p& t% L5 C. Y, W美国通胀降温
' L' e* \$ ~5 t Q9 }' l$ f& v还核心CPI,脱掉食物和能源攀登同比下降 2.6%,低于预期,且较之前的读数有所回落。核心CPI读数为2.6%,为2021年以来的最低水平。然而,官方并未公布任何月度通胀数据。停工中断十月数据收集完成。, J: \( p c" p5 ?+ E) g
: ^$ _- R$ N" r! @7 ^与住房相关的通胀出现放缓迹象。值得注意的是,9月至11月期间住房成本仅上涨0.2%,缓解了整体指数的压力。包括休闲用品和服装在内的多个类别的价格也有所下降,这起到了一定的帮助作用。拉通货膨胀降低.
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然而,分析师提醒,较低的通胀率并不能完全反映潜在的通胀趋势。他们强调,数据收集延迟造成了时间偏差,而这恰逢与节假日相关的季节性贴现。1 X7 ?9 i$ J8 ^% \, D( Z
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与此同时,消费者物价指数报告紧随其后,此前美国劳动力市场公布的最新数据显示失业率上升。上升升至 4.6%,为 2021 年 9 月以来的最高水平。这些趋势极大地增强了人们对进一步降息的信心。
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8 u% O2 N0 V: |5 l0 H! uFundstrat研究主管汤姆·李在谈到CPI数据时表示:著名的该报告措辞克制,并认为这强化了美联储保护就业的重点。他认为,这种立场实际上为金融市场设立了一张政策安全网。如果经济风险强化.
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与此同时,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔压力关税是近期通胀超调的主要原因,说它们的巅峰影响应该到达2026年第一季度。鲍威尔要求投资者谨慎解读CPI报告,并指出ZF停摆造成了数据扭曲。
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6 r8 C& d# W9 j+ m% Y; }然而,这些数据影响了市场对货币政策的预期。尽管交易员仍然认为1月份降息的可能性很小,但3月份降息的可能性已从约54%升至约60%。
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. o! t1 y. z& B7 ]8 M. `3 @股指期货上涨约0.5%,国债收益率走低,营造出一种风险偏好较高的环境,这通常会支撑股市上涨。风险资产喜欢比特币。具体而言,较低的通胀会降低收益型资产的吸引力,并鼓励投资者转向风险更高的投资机会。9 m, ^5 t' w$ }- S% d: M \
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比特币价格飙升至 9 万美元附近 z4 C& s: k0 t8 S5 Q3 T
报告发布后,比特币该加密货币价格出现快速飙升。值得注意的是,这一顶级加密资产在15分钟内上涨了1.28%,并在约45分钟后,凭借强劲的上涨势头,价格一度触及89,423美元的高位。然而,此后价格略有回落,目前交易价格在88,530美元左右。
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6 }3 Q+ F7 `. L7 M. P这波突如其来的暴涨令不同加密资产的空头交易者损失惨重。过去一小时内,空头损失总计近 6700 万美元,而多头平仓仅达 463 万美元。若将时间范围扩大到四个小时,空头平仓金额攀升至 7409 万美元,而多头平仓金额约为 1000 万美元。0 t: y5 C+ F _% ]' F
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这波通胀降温真是给币圈打了鸡血啊,9万刀都快摸到了 |
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