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[lastpost] => 2809200 Brad Garlinghouse 表示，在价格僵局中，XRP 仍然是 Ripple 的北极星（转） 1772297293 垂钓园
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。1 n) {5 P# ^8 [2 R
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
6 @$ r$ i" h; D8 q/ G9 }尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
5 q0 y' z* e: x8 u; z5 o/ K9 s: R' g7 z% w% m6 X) M! @
市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？8 F# W9 `! j+ p, j9 v% h
8 y( v! { f' M: s% S随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。' o1 K5 x% w9 J7 G( C" O& ~
& g; J! ~* }) a* s% q3 X, j3 t$ ~
牛un云蒙上阴影
; z4 n2 o% A% c最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
6 x& L1 u2 g! d4 |% h: F) E/ l7 Q. @. E/ ]
即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
. \% U4 g6 H2 E0 A, p. B& q; |9 [0 l) U; h8 f0 U+ R! C
这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。8 E: T W+ s# Z2 F7 ?
1 F" Q( O- G& N @
尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
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BTC背后的机构引擎
- M* j3 k, p3 @7 Y6 g在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
6 Z- i' y& o1 ~2 D: Y$ Z' V- l" b% w( I
这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。, z3 \: F7 a& x; M( f6 Z0 F
0 b, `7 }- G. A0 }. J与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。8 C6 P2 ?' i7 S# v( | ]" j
* w9 b; R. x) B8 @8 W机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
8 u7 H& c4 H$ s! @; g, H8 z+ D' t( k3 `
怎么了？2 j3 h$ y: q: D2 v+ O% }& t
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
7 {2 B4 `: @; ^$ }0 H0 ~# i( g7 r* _* J5 p) @( S' Z
2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
% ^/ D _+ [* }- `2 y |" j+ ]1 \5 i$ @
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
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' O9 l7 J! i1 L3 `- ]" |& {2 R v尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。9 C0 g% c* E- x+ D( k
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