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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。5 A: Q6 _; ?/ G. f6 w* V: e7 r2 R( i
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。5 F, o) l+ x0 h
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
/ P" Q7 Y0 q! n9 e: T) y% X
1 W6 B" h7 z$ g2 s/ g7 z7 b. T市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？3 d9 S1 G- K; L8 L1 ]. B
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随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。3 y* u, y6 X. M; v0 D* Q
/ a7 |0 _ P! J; O5 y V6 ^牛un云蒙上阴影+ P* d# S' G% k
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
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即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
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5 ~! ~/ [( }1 a+ o2 L h/ X这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
- \$ G7 m4 j- r5 i M) Y: r
- {9 M$ b5 X4 {) w2 F) y尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。. O$ A2 L$ T9 ^9 s
; u6 d5 c0 y$ Z5 W# t8 ]8 P4 l3 [BTC背后的机构引擎
, [# g, x* @) Q* z. |4 h在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。; i/ _% O* L k7 F9 `5 \% O. f
* l0 Y2 `3 Q9 q6 j这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。8 `$ A z# v* L) X+ ]- e
5 L+ `6 a. z5 V! G与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。( f4 Y2 q5 u% s$ J2 Q
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机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
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+ E. o1 c9 h. }$ Y( t; z0 V怎么了？/ m6 W2 c; i4 g" v& Z# B2 m
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。( q. X1 H4 @+ k3 f6 ?
3 Q+ I8 p( s: B4 s1 ^# g# s2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。- y5 g# {4 ?* N! f# H0 F% J7 }
4 `6 x3 h4 n7 \* z! j% _2 Q风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
. ?1 k. m+ Z7 M; N h! H" j3 t* s
/ r! R, W! o- o* _, I0 A尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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