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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。. u, _8 D1 b0 O, t9 }- g! {0 O
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
. K" l: w) J' L2 c7 V尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。. j Z& H& Z. u- s# M5 E
( T( K w2 c5 h) }牛un云蒙上阴影
3 r+ _) K$ v9 @ F9 o {5 X- H最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
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4 |/ B7 g- o! O6 c, ~" R" m# I即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
" {' a: Q, z' s
% c) m! N: F: q+ Q这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。9 G7 A+ J/ G( W" U+ f$ s7 m/ Q8 S
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尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。2 ]7 z8 i1 i6 z6 I
2 m% T0 D: n" oBTC背后的机构引擎
# Y7 M$ n! w% |/ [在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。5 X) o3 t. V: G4 Q& n8 d
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这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
9 f0 ]) R1 d" `( I e0 @" ~; P9 ?- \6 U) `( l
与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
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5 U" ~$ f, ]. s m机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。2 _# s: w. a+ I# y$ D% Y! ]; @5 z
" M) w% @( J! o5 p怎么了？
Z8 |/ z/ Y3 A7 f0 H尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
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风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
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尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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