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[lastpost] => 2796271 比特币价格在 9 万美元至 9.4 万美元之间波动——一场大行情即将到来（转） 1768281881 whywhy
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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+ C( _6 u& f! I2 }. q. b) ~6 y 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Q& b7 y# _ z* z) N% ^3 I Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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$ L& E% d! h* C X% G0 a) a 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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% A+ G# N5 U+ v) a" p7 | 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。/ e6 K( Q$ g0 w* ~3 e' A
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。 c4 U* w+ X0 O! C" R" M
& J- o. S9 d9 f4 j: H 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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. ^! V" C; b# z4 N7 L- G4 R价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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5 ]9 M- C: q0 T* c& @$ G4 H v/ [ “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间6 I7 d( W H# s2 Y
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”8 u( c" Y( K# z0 T
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。# G( k& `. l _/ y3 e6 h
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”2 A5 a# |* L2 X
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, ~: D0 X- \, I, e0 F$ m7 H- h 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。# E! Z& g3 Q, L9 ]2 S+ u
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。" l) \. J% I g9 a
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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1 y0 R b/ e; d2 q b q7 N 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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, _- U3 V8 n0 z" i$ f) K 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。( z/ s$ D3 w6 e
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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4 t3 X) c0 Y- R5 t4 L7 a( ]市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”; ~! [- M- M+ n+ }3 z
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