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[lastpost] => 2810167 XRP 持有者从交易所撤回代币，与此同时 XRP ETF 资金流入超过 12 亿美元（转） 1772385215 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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; U: O+ ~! L$ [+ ?+ k9 U3 _ 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续2 \& s4 x3 x; [5 _
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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9 u. U- ?9 M. t( W4 {- Y( V5 X 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。/ }& H8 R, U: ^: l' P
- j$ X0 A- b/ x2 N4 Z4 @9 ?- g( y 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。 w6 m" A6 @) \- b4 R/ B' U
G& T' m. `& l3 R9 {, o8 f 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，- U4 i- r* s3 J! L2 a
( q/ T6 S2 E! j( |& C U. k价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间6 m& D' q }; S" l& B
4 S% U! _* e5 X' |. e# m/ n! U3 q框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”( w+ p! w$ R& ]) }# L5 e" r
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。4 |/ J6 @7 H; d
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在+ q+ a: M0 s8 P$ {' R
% _% v2 f. q# F7 `3 D0 R' i+ [积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”0 v, e& ^, F4 ]% j. \
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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# |0 j- e" X6 p) A! f9 o' C* | 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。3 c7 [9 x% R4 U4 `/ u B
" j4 n! j! o! U: I# ]1 e% G 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。1 |6 j8 V/ R2 G) v1 q5 c u
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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