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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。( G' i: ^0 z- w1 T
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。& n6 |5 e2 n( G; i! b8 J2 _# d
2 K! x" {% u& ]& ]1 b比特币重新分配正在进行7 B% ^% K! l' K! ~+ D9 m
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。* @% X B# B# O8 E* n. m
x; K2 x3 e' r5 A# W2 E6 t# R& N然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。6 [( E/ t* q7 ?$ z
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% Q- k4 v& K P# b根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。* q9 Q$ }) `. {2 ]
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。/ ~4 F: B3 J# I! g* I( x9 m. r4 z
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
% p4 A) n; n& g6 `CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。* ^/ G. c+ m. T3 u/ x) b, R
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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, N( N9 Z$ U# D& ^' u3 m1 Q一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。
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: ]% Y% K) g Z" m) F9 c现货交易商调整8 C& f* J3 L5 F- |, x
1 F9 Q {. m; G6 U# S0 ?( z现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。- N% L8 m7 p- O. h
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。8 X& H( U2 G" y/ p
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