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[lastpost] => 2810805 Arthur Hayes：每一次中东战争，都是做多比特币的机会？（转） 1772472724 caoch
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Pi Cycle Top指标暗示市场可能在7.8万美元附近触底 ； J4 ]+ j/ e0 U$ E# L3 ?7 Q3 x) ^
BTC的抛售压力正在上升，这可能会进一步压低其价格 ；
/ @. k/ l, i8 |# x! u2 k6 c/ ]2 \1 J比特币[BTC]在过去的几周里，由于这枚硬币未能获得有希望的收益，它一直处于困境。& R J( `% h) F& O* a6 A1 X5 m/ M
( S, T3 Y1 Q; D' \事实上，最新的分析表明，情况可能会变得更糟，因为短期内硬币有可能再次跌至8.5万美元 ；
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2 D' A3 Q2 p4 m4 s比特币有麻烦了！
/ ^" u k' K% ]* F' h比特币的价格在过去几天里有所巩固。! v |& e# W; o' d! F; A8 A& C
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在过去的24小时里，国王币的价格小幅上涨了0.5%，交易价格为94937.45美元，市值超过1.88万亿美元。
/ M/ Q# O6 d+ J/ @3 i; \
$ R, f/ a! E& t& [$ x$ a; z- L尽管比特币的价格波动性下降，但受欢迎的数据分析平台Alpharactal发布了推特，提到BTC未来可能面临的障碍。) z4 h/ g& i! S- n
- S8 F, B8 L. t* L该推文使用了BTC的短期持有者实现价格指标，代表了被视为短期持有者的投资者对比特币的平均收购价格，通常由持有时间不到155天的硬币的变动来定义 ；
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推文提到，
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* u$ z! o% z! N1 t“失去8.5万欧元区对价格来说可能是灾难性的，熊市可能会随之而来。因此，在8.5万至8.6万欧元之间，看涨者将尽一切努力维持价格！”
2 ?# n+ b+ _2 m% k' d9 X8 K& r9 {2 ]! ~
BTC会再次跌至8.5万美元吗？
0 o$ V8 g3 ^- B3 \3 d. ^/ G根据Pi Cycle Top指标，BTC的市场底部可能在7.8万美元附近。因此，不能排除BTC跌至8.5万美元的可能性 ；
; Z4 u; R) k2 \( P# G5 @* t" X: G" F+ K) h5 v# k3 d W
除此之外，国王币的销售压力也在上升。
0 H# N' S. L2 @! s# z% _7 O2 `$ T
; B6 ?) V; r1 ?" C8 A! g/ I; J- nAMBCrypto报道早些时候，BTC的现货外汇储备在过去一个月因投资者将资产从交易所撤出而持续下降后，最近出现了2万BTC流入的显著增长。
9 |4 N5 L* x# C5 Y/ q, a% h
9 O8 r& @. [8 @7 [5 l1 ^: w% i# F该指标的上升意味着投资者正在出售其持有的股票，这通常会对价格产生负面影响。衍生品市场的情况也令人担忧。/ _( O) S; I# b9 c
* a( |0 \( w7 Q3 [
根据CryptoQuant的data，比特币的买方买入/卖出比率变红。这显然意味着卖出情绪在期货市场占主导地位 ；: }. [4 t0 v& E- Q# c) L
' a6 L# p$ H1 q0 a. K技术指标货币流量指数（MFI）进一步证明了投资者正在出售资产的事实，因为它出现了下跌。
f7 g& Z" T) B2 X7 G' ?4 c& c8 G3 s B
如果抛售压力继续上升，那么比特币在短期内也可能再次跌至8.5万美元的区间。
+ X( _2 _$ X- {4 w: D( p3 Q4 }& y# y' X& i$ C5 E# A. K; G5 o
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这到底还是会有跌的时候啊- `9 D, s' _3 |! `
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