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[lastpost] => 2797285 比特币：探究比特币价格近期飙升至 9.5 万美元背后的原因（转） 1768443773 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
如果发生这种情况，比特币可能会下降40,600美元（转）
[复制链接]
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一位分析师根据两个月盘面中形成的模式解释了比特币如何下降40,600美元。
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% m# X6 ^1 ^8 D: D8 K比特币在两个月的盘面上收到了TD Sequential的卖出信号。在X上的一篇新帖子中，分析师Ali Martinez讨论了出现在比特币) K) ~* ? _7 s" r
* K% x N: h7 x+ E两个月价格上的Tom Demark (TD) 序列信号。TD Sequential是一种技术分析指标，用于检测任何资产价格中可能的反转位置。" \5 G0 Y$ `: X, {2 i/ g9 {) w
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6 h0 }$ h9 P8 e3 B8 M! L 该指标由两个阶段组成：设置阶段和倒计时阶段。在设置阶段，相同颜色（红色或绿色）的蜡烛将被计数到九根。完成这九根蜡烛后，资产可能已达到反转点。, w D& }) v" H2 |
0 o8 f- q' g; S/ w) j# ^如果导致设置完成的蜡烛呈绿色，则 TD Sequential将发出卖出信号。相反，红色蜡烛可以表明底部已经到来。) {8 Q( _8 k5 `0 L( _! e) G+ a X
1 k. W" p1 V, H+ e7 W5 O/ `设置完成后，指标的第二阶段（倒计时）将开始。倒计时的工作方式与setup类似，主要区别在于蜡烛将数到十三而不是九。在这十三根蜡烛之后，资产可以被认为已
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, |, e& Z+ C6 p1 A8 j经达到了另一个潜在的顶部或底部。+ ]. k8 {! ~4 q& J) p% i
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比特币最近完成了首个TD 顺序阶段。这是分析师Chia的比特币两个月盘面，显示了这个信号：
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+ l3 C$ j; Q9 [如上图所示，两个月图表上的比特币价格最近完成了带有九根阳线的TD 序列，表明加密货币可能已达到某种峰值。
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# R7 o* }- t8 C" A2 |自该信号出现以来，大饼一直在稳步下降，目前价格低于57,000美元。因此，这种下降模式很可能已经开始生效。
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" U: a, C) w$ X关于比特币可能下降，马丁内斯指出支撑位为51,000美元，对应于大饼近期峰值的0.236 斐波那契回撤位。$ s+ ~5 Q$ [' C5 p' h. t$ p! Z. m, Q
% m% u& {4 a4 ]3 V8 D5 I斐波那契回撤水平基于斐波那契数列，其中Chia链中的每个数字（数字 5 之后）除以下一个数字可在整个链中制作一致的比率。
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- B. { c# `/ V# `% ` n5 U& u: I比特币很可能会在下一个关键比率处找到支撑，但分析师指出，如果突破51,000镁的水平，该加密货币可能会下降40,600镁，相当于斐波那契回撤水平 0.382。
0 S4 n: i0 I! ]' A/ x
2 \8 T+ B# V, _- X在这种情况下，如果大饼实际上回到这一水平，其价格将比当前水平下降28%以上。现在，我们将拭目以待该资产的表现如何。# [" o2 W7 S3 y2 o( ?/ e
9 U, C0 P, {- N* o: n' }大饼价格：过去一天，比特币继续进一步下降，目前价格已下降56,600美元。; ?/ S- Y. R$ V* G9 l- U" {
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