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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。0 C! R4 J$ A* N
* G8 a8 e4 D/ x N过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。2 F$ T# K; b8 d. V
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当
1 @' u9 z3 h* w1 S" \& g* S7 j% \) l3 S. O$ t4 u7 s) z8 Z6 }6 l
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场& i# y7 s, X/ y! L5 `
1 `- t7 z& q/ u
处于健康的看涨状态。
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1 C. M, [* |* ]! QAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
# \" }9 ^& C m3 e# z3 X; f/ K' J2 G5 u
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF$ a0 l1 n. L+ F: G8 w8 P" [
5 G q" `2 L$ E4 p2 y% i1 P- l
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
& q8 ^: I' u h7 F% J$ H" J [' g. F' s* V7 v
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
4 L+ K# w- Z( j: R, b2 N# P! l8 m4 \) E$ N
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提3 z# R% Y9 c( L5 ~
2 I6 _. }5 R* o) j% g! B
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。6 ^3 Z. S$ w5 k2 C4 I" |) i+ |
/ N$ B! [; \/ P5 R! z, L; i+ y- Q其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较9 Z" N+ L4 b+ J; V) w2 x1 }& p3 O) i/ L4 B
$ {) w' }; G7 R1 s5 h! I4 E4 x低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
! m: {( F' h( t+ |6 Y1 O
% q3 _) N ?! Q( ]0 Q7 O劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
p) I& l4 g& O! W0 `
% o/ W6 I* h& Y0 `8 g然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF: M4 y7 M# k6 I/ Z
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申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。' p+ W; i7 t1 ~; W8 H- u$ R4 d
5 Z) N6 x5 F' p6 z7 W+ u8 ^
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币5 k4 g) q6 W9 S% L4 _
! V: T5 Q- B! G4 t
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不/ X b4 V: Y' s% \, H$ R
, B7 h" y' c& k/ S" J- }绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
7 F3 Y% w4 i9 ]" V& D: a6 X2 t* `, N" [( ^3 M- U8 ^' ?" ^9 l
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。& P9 C _2 Y: K* |4 m
( O# \% a4 K m6 ?- m
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因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的! n+ ^; ~, j7 V' |; O0 ?) d
: u5 C1 W4 I8 j$ W/ @8 y. }关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。' k( w4 p9 W( K7 Y* w
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