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[lastpost] => 2797541 随着美伊紧张局势加剧，比特币或将跌破 9.6 万美元大关（转） 1768666218 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
F& z, e. [$ n- v e% C$ U+ c( F' c$ a; K: s
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
; x3 s7 M# k! O! P5 Y( H! B链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当4 s5 I/ O$ r( p& q
. l7 }, r/ S) j1 M天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场5 I5 f' R+ V" E: v) F
4 n$ B1 }2 y: U/ N! M5 L# r处于健康的看涨状态。
3 q" i, R" [' v6 z+ k1 y* o1 k1 e' A$ C3 c- b) j: z# C
AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬/ k, i; j6 X4 L( S; D: E5 f
6 F0 E$ }3 B! ~+ X+ M' `
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
9 _8 Y3 S1 g4 d5 m: J4 |8 J- p" Z; S1 o$ w" {& I6 D5 H! @
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
8 B4 [' A( O4 \; O6 @% ?2 t$ ^3 r! _, o
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
5 l, ?+ ]! F3 f. O% U5 M* m7 d
6 A+ Z6 @7 @4 ~2 h: h! e1 Q+ P/ G8 PCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提; Q$ |# ^5 G5 I
+ h! M8 {3 A D0 N9 d- M2 P* Y. M8 E
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
6 `) }1 I1 b8 z# S5 q4 y+ b; z( B: Z( F
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
; s* r3 q1 p4 w; R8 d
3 _& C1 h& h! W- r @% p% D低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强$ O. T3 l% _+ \, u5 ~+ H6 @6 B4 i
; ]3 O$ l4 G+ k9 q) a2 P+ b劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
& G! U- y6 F% o( s% E o1 W" P9 e( w) j; k& \6 a8 S: ~' L( O
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
" j% G9 P4 z9 s# t; C/ A, E. y
% x/ K4 \0 |8 e: E( L) W3 W [申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
0 M! }4 `' v1 ? \. m0 {# G1 D) x+ {# `- ^5 F5 h
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
' K; L* D) \9 V# K/ ]; ]
8 u; o i# v. }; O+ [NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不 H: c$ k0 s7 Q
* {( ^3 V8 _% S7 X6 i7 K4 `
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法$ U' u8 n6 }. p) m0 q
# _0 d2 h! T& c7 Z) c: A' S1 z继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
7 Z, I$ n3 `- k9 ]- |/ s
& Z6 E8 ?4 J/ |# R- y1 r
% i1 h0 w9 T9 ?9 C! ?3 {, B因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
) \, f7 w+ r1 f2 M) Y9 T/ ^8 e, e8 W) F* [+ y
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
0 s/ w3 I$ F: y( S* G: B4 F
; K8 L5 T, L! }( `7 `, K b# Z5 T1 U5 |7 ]9 a1 ^1 w& c! C
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