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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，6 Z+ ^3 P; D! ~9 m# a) K* `
3 R, K) t( j1 D# [比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？, s3 p9 t- b6 t! a1 I: ^. b
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
3 `. X+ Y% r5 G8 D! P3 u2 |0 W
1 K6 Q/ E! y) _2 }6 y1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
3 L, }5 v" z! p% z/ d& J% n- |9 V1 G0 h2 @/ |' S8 f
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过+ n2 Y) O# t; @) t) B6 h3 ?
v( c/ R, X! E- U
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
# D9 t+ L6 ^( ?7 L' h4 S" ` G' K, d- Q7 a
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长6 q7 u) ^" c4 B( e( C" j
) _- F' h2 |4 Q [9 \9 C1 K
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
& q2 ?/ y* k/ E' n+ z8 N6 A7 W" b5 G; y1 D. }* F# C
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
! ~6 N9 L* K$ j: e
) ]/ u3 P' b% A1 K; z1 P% jETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
+ b! } l" U1 `* ^9 }; U% W/ m
6 V9 k+ D. ~" q: H. K. O美金）。2 F3 g1 a/ {% @: t4 e
" f1 J5 C _# R3 a* ]1 ]2 q
5 n/ W9 U/ _$ u+ I* L/ `
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态1 _5 J9 \5 d; n2 y0 _) Q: l! U$ U
: i) g% ?* N( @/ w: R& d比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去! V W3 K# @4 S2 U; P
! E$ i' u3 z8 K$ O0 {构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。5 b0 E3 O& I6 a" v3 g% D5 Y! `
8 l$ _9 R8 g+ ^4 x- B2 @3 |
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户( H) I. j" H z9 V
' l5 b5 D9 o# J
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。% g4 q% R I) N' _
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL$ g$ L: B b" V. q" }% p
. u2 |' [6 E3 d
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如1 c/ L, ^$ p! z6 G
( T+ S; g5 P' ]& g' @; z$ y果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美; R7 z0 f; m0 _1 b
5 S k6 [0 n3 |+ P7 V8 x金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
$ u$ h; ]) F% E6 ~( r$ g& E' I l8 J O5 ]& r
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