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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
[复制链接]
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，- H* X4 A' w7 Q2 b4 W
& d& \) p. s5 V5 [/ E) X! i比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
2 K, C, k$ J7 w$ q. |) k, h( E我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
" Z6 A/ J6 n- V* b, r* u1 y# @4 u9 U( o! d9 s- `
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在6 v1 U7 M1 l* B
% j: \9 c, r" X5 ? H# G没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过* f' e6 E- q) @! O# _$ G2 Y; y+ t
; }$ J/ B j/ z4 j
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全; q3 q2 |5 {' p+ W8 L+ `
- Z/ g3 ^. I# d
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长! F r/ u J& V8 v
0 S7 S; P3 W: l( X" c5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
, K2 \( d( i/ h2 c
& N* e, W% ]6 f& g8 N& |Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
; T) j, [" M7 l" ?: e8 K- e1 X4 @4 I9 u1 u% Z( n
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
9 E$ J+ u, y4 {2 Y. K q# U% r% l2 l- h2 l9 S4 r) G
美金）。
/ r3 e' u9 Y9 `" p+ f, I
: e9 B& a2 D+ ?% ]; g& s
2 B: ?, `$ {, N0 \7 J2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态% J8 R w4 G0 z2 F4 N b
" |& {0 F6 R H5 b, s: \0 E
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
4 S) Z/ j' z8 m( k; v4 q
, {1 N! M U, f构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。7 `! @' ?2 r$ Z8 @
& T( K9 W. J. X3 h4 J4 p5 \+ B
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
c: u, n8 O1 y! f/ p2 `! s, z# a! v/ b
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
, D6 |, f" A5 ]8 Y1 b3 w2 {0 u
) z& b! P- _% _6 a5 D# D1 z4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
$ ]. c4 e9 |: b/ {4 F1 C
# @( ^4 Z g: B约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
% k7 K' I% G: T; H" y" y7 r E0 h( O
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
) Q9 |4 Y+ t7 I$ E' Q; G
$ q, `. i# S! S3 v0 P金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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' l' W7 \$ f( e6 F# i& v6 W+ ?0 l( B0 i9 |7 A2 T( ~/ X
1 y8 ]2 k9 b- C9 k" g
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