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2023.11.28交易系统8 W! Z; t" V3 ?3 K9 y4 l( d
5 G' q/ D" v; ]& {, d) b- {) i9 ?每个人对市场都有自己不同的认识和理解，但有一点是毫无疑义的，就是：世上不存在100%正确的交易系统。我想很多散户朋友在判断一套系统是否优异的时候，首先看的就是这套方法准确率是否足够高，大家一定要记得系统的成功率固然重要，但并非唯一重要的因素。# P! c& I* ^+ T
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成功率达到90%的系统也会造成重大损失，成功率仅为40%的系统也可以取得良好的收益。其原理可以给大家举个例子，在同等仓位的情况下如果你每笔交易盈利是1%但是亏损是10%，那就算你的成功率达到90%你觉得最后可以赚到钱吗？同样如果你每笔交易盈利1%亏损也是1%，但是盈利的时候都是1成仓位，亏损的时候是满仓。90%的胜率最后依旧不会有收益！所以我认为一个系统的成功率能大于55%，它可能就是一个相当不错的系统。当然，前提是有严格合理的资金管理和止损离市措施作保证。
: _1 s" A- S: s3 v5 h' g, V3 L
" m6 }, Y# {. g3 [( ^5 _最后大家要记得要衡量一个交易系统的好坏如果我们从每笔交易来看，它能够做到不要“小盈大亏”；从长期来看就是是否能够做到稳定赢利。
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技术面
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日线：这笔看着是要回调的，33000为支撑位，不排除跌到3w以下再V返至43000的可能，反正下周多单要小心咯，现货耐心持有
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四小时线：四小时这笔向下快要走完，还有一笔向上37800的位置
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8 z( Y1 }- z$ u6 u7 t. r; k15分钟线：目前到了37200的支撑位置，这个位置不太好操作，如果本周收不回37800以上的话，多单就不参与了
( n! ?! U$ O. V* U# v G* h
* B4 y$ y* f: ~6 Z8 X9 y操作计划：37500的空单继续持有，观望
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方法最后一段话觉得是很有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟好运太差了。 |
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