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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字1 u" _& w/ z& \; w
起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
- L9 j' T" n3 Q' V$ _德州扑克游戏过程中的概率
; y4 E _" r& B7 d/ G9 r0 j! r玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。+ Y* \) J# `4 f3 m- f7 p+ E1 r
/ N) R$ ~6 N/ y下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语
7 ]% d: Y' o3 T% ] c' ^$ B; i9 y2 O
补牌总数
1 [8 R/ O$ F' `# t9 yOuts0 f3 Y0 v% ^2 e7 S$ H& L
未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数. v! t! n7 G! I( f+ m- D
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”
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成牌概率' a* h3 ^2 |+ C
Hand Odds9 ]7 O5 i) t p$ M$ Q
形成一手特定牌型的概率
, Q" J5 t* J1 }! |“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”! v! n# S4 [, D
' [- _2 E1 I* Z1 ?! p: V3 O9 l总注概率
5 |1 R( f' o/ `; b5 n; { LPot Odds
; N/ c. |/ A! [/ D' E- d c你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。
3 i% m; ?/ w T, B5 i/ @3 h. ~8 V1 S/ b" I( m
下注概率: Q- g& O' n' c. s6 |& _. f
Bet Odds
# Z2 ^6 B4 J% X2 R* l$ q你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率$ f6 A6 x/ E9 H* k* l+ R
“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”5 Z- u6 j0 X4 s/ y
- y, F# r* q u
隐含概率
% w7 y2 L0 B1 ZImplied Odds( T' T }* Y2 M+ { T J
通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率
' F, W% a) _7 Y: ^! A2 A+ ]3 M4 y“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”
' x: G' S5 K; V1 _9 G7 e: o( _- [& F6 {9 S
0 z, A' a! d, H) M0 i* G _" x
下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:
1 K8 O; _4 r/ N- h) `转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。* W0 Q1 ], w+ p. z9 D t2 ~
% d* y+ L$ E8 t5 F+ w5 E5 m0 }反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。3 Q+ \3 L9 h2 N- G( Z# @* I
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