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[虚拟币资讯]
随着鲸鱼抛售 93K ETH:以太坊价格在 Uniswap 上暴跌至 950 美元
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大家好 7 T! A9 K/ s7 o
我是币圈小沫沫~
. R* X& c% s# a9 M( a' k& P0 T" Q! gETH 在跌至 950 美元后大幅反弹。但 ETH / USD 看跌的延续设置可能会重新审视它。 4 o; B& X: j5 V5 c8 P
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今年 6 月 13 日，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 Uniswap（一个去中心化的加密货币交易所）上跌 9 V9 a# T: Z2 f% [# c: Z: n! `
至 950 美元的低点，大约比其他交易所的即期汇率低 20%。 ' R* h8 H; f2 d3 h! U S2 ?2 w7 Q
+ I$ o; M4 h( D; m$ J8 `六小时内售出超过 1.3 亿美元的 ETH
; k D: N' k- C( g: v& D) X该事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前一头鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 以获得多种“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin ( USDC )、Tether ( USDT ) 和 Dai ( DAI )。 ' ^) G( k5 K; B7 A6 D
有证据指出，鲸鱼出售其持有的 ETH 以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。 5 k# [$ E0 T9 Y
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Oasis 的借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售后五个小时又抛售了近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图所示。
' j6 z0 i5 f. J* h8 j
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果，这只鲸鱼在短短六个小时内就抛售了大约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。 : H) ]$ w3 s& ?4 p0 \' V
有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受了严重的“滑点”损失。 ' @/ v; ~9 p; r" U) v" h/ S8 j) ]" y
& _$ T Y; k& ?+ J/ }3 M( w以太币价格达到 667 美元——资深分析师 0 E, t8 B) T4 [' u9 D' A
以太币涨至 950 美元的行程很短暂，这表明对接近该水平的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的另一项分析指出，未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌至 650 美元。
# f0 U5 _& s; z( xBrandt 的看跌前景源于一个经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝其先前趋势的方向突破后解决。 , U1 p/ {9 V( X+ u
由于以太在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。 - K- H" t4 G/ W- f0 G; W
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Brandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 再下跌近 50%，至 667 美元。
4 H( H p( H# d尽管如此，以太币的超卖相对强度指数（RSI）可能导致价格急剧逆转。以太坊从 1,200 美元附近的 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）中挑选出额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。 ; E- X1 [& A' @2 b2 o# g: b
& w) m- T3 P/ ]) B如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，则该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与斐波纳契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线相吻合，从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点。
- [/ c5 Q$ R4 M( K* c! I相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能将 920 美元视为其下一个下行目标。
/ _, ~8 N. h5 S, ^, W1 Q, L此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。 - \% c! ~6 x! |8 u7 R
好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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