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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
& O: C3 h4 W5 i- A* s. R3 S# b行情补充、
: [: P$ U& }1 G K在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
2 @4 b* t( [0 S2 \0 m8 y* E$ w市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 1 m9 J3 C& e& A6 r3 q# A
关于疑问、一一回复。
7 [ X) }+ p L4 R今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ , |- i S/ f8 X6 o2 D' g9 ]
. e. A" V( |6 { {" J$ K首先就个人的主观来说、
! \+ j! N ~- c+ w1 s8 j' @对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
" X6 I7 Z5 a) ~9 V5 ]/ E; p( B极度憧憬市场的未来！ & }. L' [2 R# I E2 A) s' _
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
6 _' n( @( ]) ^. L! t8 U最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
" X9 G2 q% Z, G! u8 s6 M而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 : J4 S \7 o2 x" k
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 $ i# F% m) y, B5 w# F% n
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
1 ` \' G* z" B( \) o0 t其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 # V2 l; v7 `8 q6 E! B
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） ; J( d+ \7 ?0 K
为什么会跌、 7 B! J0 Z: D: p: M5 o+ I U8 _' J
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 , w2 P3 U/ u% W- y2 z# A
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
t* l0 G7 z8 Y' M7 o3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
" U! D/ w( ~! w' A, J8 t) k8 K综上造成的下跌、
+ X/ q# |% x8 @0 J* O这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
0 i# A D/ S, i2 l也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
; m, F7 R# ^( f熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
7 _4 z# W! g0 R4 @来决定行情是否好转。
% M! i/ z& ]! I0 n* g2 P至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 ' h) X$ L2 z5 {; |/ V! `6 R/ I
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. ; \' J2 V4 e" ?; [
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
6 F8 T0 C( Y" [8 m( }周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 ; w& ?! R( e& C) I- x( p& _
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
) Z7 m" R, b' r$ z6 j看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 : V+ O" k6 l( c; b
日内大饼反弹、
: c8 w1 c5 i8 \& j- z9 b6 G$ g0 j2 }7 k26150高空 % X# u6 L: g3 V5 ]9 r; m4 N
26350补仓 6 w6 g" U( `( p; W+ x
26550防守 " O7 U6 F. \/ w, h7 D( E
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 8 ?) q1 [& P$ D$ K; o
以太反弹 2 i+ u& C" a. W& b1 y
1380高空 / ~$ z4 d0 F, D+ Y. F
1400补仓 ; V# J* H2 K1 {2 q* J* E) N' q
1420防守
# Z. Z6 o3 Z' G1 C; L3 Y目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 : C" R6 `6 E+ |! F! X
附言、 5 R6 v5 ^3 j" E* N( S: i
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
! @, e, \$ D0 `) `5 x* n是正常现象，
) W2 y& G4 n3 |6 f" o合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 $ l7 m6 P6 R4 a& _6 w/ s" ^
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
0 E0 ~! o& M/ h! K& w4 G. I大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 + ]4 r& g9 U6 v6 M4 y
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 . g! m2 n* P4 k$ ]
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
. L8 P% v, `1 J6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 ; A& F! }, a& _# Q5 J0 |
相信七月公布时，会较理想。 1 z; C" F% M0 Q3 i3 S: X2 ~6 D
但现阶段，要承受的住。
. u8 S8 s; V- J7 P: L最后再强调、现货勿割。 " {+ A7 v- e5 ~: z
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 ' L( Z5 a# X$ ^3 @
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 ( t2 {$ B0 T2 Z
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 8 U; d1 {9 I, f5 B `- y
这个市场，
4 _$ {$ @) w0 s& u( Y1 U' ^消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
4 l* c! V1 g3 a; n最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
- r/ F9 r+ h; [1 o切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 s9 V+ f5 X8 e: m) T. v
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 . h1 h& l+ L, i; e7 d& C' |* @
来源：金色财经 |
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