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[lastpost] => 2758065 以太坊资金争夺战升温，彼得·泰尔支持的公司更名后披露其持有 4.19 亿美元 ETH（转） 1755571137 小钱儿
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。
( M$ w$ t$ b4 n. d! r- _以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因. 0 o( }' R+ k# [3 x! e
此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。 ! f8 \. |6 x2 ~$ C' E
以太坊基金集体亏损
7 c4 T1 l- U+ r$ Q) S根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。
! o9 \' b, T! [* G$ x% N与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。 # B1 {+ r; k2 C' x+ ]7 W
与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。 ; V! r' ]3 E5 w9 v! f! q& ]
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编辑切换为居中 8 Z8 X& u% R4 J- i8 J
流入/流出加密资金(按资产)
: O5 d T8 J" k4 W5 _% \1 T4 I这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 4 X7 R5 m5 k% f- I! `, ^6 j
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。
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6 W9 p/ P2 C2 G+ H; t: _0 c! I7 s编辑切换为居中 7 r' x; N* o, I
6月5日的TVL以太坊 & p/ |+ R0 z, v, E: D+ s& j' G
但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。 : v$ E+ f* A) ~% y3 s2 o" T
宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。
, B( _; k' `# p! f$ L男性讲述金融时报: 5 N/ }, Y4 W* w4 L" x0 L) i
“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面
' z/ S' M4 Y6 X0 J自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。 6 {+ V( W' _$ y0 c7 A
具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
+ h: {. P/ V% l根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。
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6 I) Q8 ^+ O% m0 r) E& S# J' c编辑切换为居中
8 P% L" n, f) L+ `2 dETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置
- W( z0 s* I6 V9 ]9 g如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。 ) ]" `% f2 Q1 f' |+ x9 ?
交易所的ETH储备正在增加 ) ? B! |- j" Y2 m5 c) z, r
CryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出.
% @2 H$ l3 I9 [5 o* H% s O- O自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。 * V5 P* R" }5 ?! ^' w+ h. I
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编辑切换为居中
) h% V& D n) i, ]以太坊外汇储备
) d! i% j- k5 A, E# M$ }4 u' a, N通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。 ; m' ^, r2 h' [6 z1 r( A
来源：金色财经 |
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