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[打法交流] 百家乐计算错在哪里？top2名校学生算的也不专业
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本帖最后由 波菜人生 于 2021-9-15 22:58 编辑 " f, o+ |5 B% N" ~
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源于一个话题 ，闲出9点的概率有多大？top2名校生，提出一个算法，看起来，没啥问题，我当时也是佩服他的思维缜密，后面我看了一个专业人士算法，和他计算的数据，相差有点大（话题：闲家9点的概率  他算出的结果是 0.121 ，业内人士算出的结果是 ：0.141958）。
6 ?" w8 M7 `* C$ A& ^& J' }6 ]7 m; c原文  https://tcelue.tv/thread-2371308-1-1.html  下一把出9点的概率   
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为了简化计算，提出一个更加简洁的命题 ，靴子里1-K 各剩一张，求 闲家 “例牌” 9 且 庄家是0点的 组合数等于多少？9 \3 a$ r9 q# o$ O$ z
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4 u# s- V  P( z% R0 E 闲：0+9。闲家0= C（4，1）=4 种， 庄 0+0 =C（3，2）=3 种 ，2+8 ，3+7，4+6 各1种，  累计组合 4*（3+1+1+1）=24种 ) C: C0 ]7 y) @. x' K" ]
闲：1+8 ，庄 0+0 =C(4,2)=6 种 ，3+7，4+6 各1个，  累计组合数 6+1+1=8种
1 }4 p$ V7 c! y 闲：2+7 ，庄 0+0 =C(4,2)=6 种  ，1+9 ，4+6 各1个，  累计组合 6+1+1=8种
" B* G3 e) Q; Z 闲：3+6 ，庄 0+0 =C(4,2)=6 种  ，1+9，2+8 各1个，  累计组合数 6+1+1=8种
% [" @0 A! w& _7 z; J/ D7 {8 r 闲：4+5 ，庄 0+0 =C(4,2)=6 种  ，1+9，2+8 ，3+7 各1个，  累计组合数 6+1+1+1=9种
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累计组合数  24+8+8+8+9=57 种 ，这和专业人士算出的组合数 （16416种）相差甚远 ，错在哪里？# N$ Y3 U- q1 M

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2#
我不在乎对错，反正就是一把过

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3#
也要看有几副牌了吧，不懂这些的

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4#
太初心了，没有考虑花色，不是很难的算法。

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
看起来还是比较复杂的哟。

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6#
技术流啊，我是看不懂了啊哈哈

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7#
概率对我们只玩几手的人来说，也只是个浮云

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8#
有时候概率也是要看有没有用

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9#
我就学不了那么多了，就跟高手压

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10#
我对这些都没有过多的关注到的呢

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11#
这个我就不怎么看得懂了好好研究一下

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12#
探讨百家乐话题的大神越来越多了哦

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13#
还是不要计算了，轻装上阵玩

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