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这是我早期自己统计分析的红牌走地的胜率和分析,实战过胜率很高----希望版主能加精
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8 |3 c: c! c$ ~- z4 f% ~ b3 _ 一:红牌在上半场或尽量在60分前,买无红的。越前面,实力越优先,可以注量稍大些(但不能过大,即超过2个单位)。
7 l6 o3 b9 G' `1 v" l3 L" N2 M 二:无红方已经领先2球或以上的就可以不买,领先3球或以上甚至可以买有红方,特别是有红方是主场或进攻实力很强的情况下,给对方一个面子。, U1 k, I+ M9 N& Y9 f8 }
三:如果出现红后不久无红方也红,马上再买,并对冲。对冲时注意如果两边都让球平局是输两边,此时不买,起码等到让0平局一边输,一边走的情况再对冲。 2 L9 y. Q. ~) L
四:如果是主队红牌,注意赢的概率又降低了,同时,杯赛等无主场的又可以排除。
# s( q7 W* G, J9 U& [5 u8 q! S% q0 R& J- u& M
/ v1 ]8 \- j: P# G* h) J一: 红牌队领先反超共14场。70分前红牌。2 L8 I6 O8 d I, w# G
红牌队领先最终红牌队还进球,3场。
; [) ^/ \2 x0 P7 x) I/ q -------又有一条规律:红牌队领先,70分前红牌,都还还有球进,如果是0.5可以买大,或1,或0.75时可以买大。# L) P9 q9 F# Z; b7 Q( j( W
-------如果是弱队红牌,强队落后情况下进球概率更高,很简单,因为进攻能力更强。而且统计数据也说明往往红还进的几只球队大部分是红是强队。7 r& J# @4 ^- Z% E+ A4 U
8 Q0 |' b2 N0 U4 S- \二:红牌队落后,更加落后,共18场。
4 \+ F" }& J4 w% R% A5 B$ x" c 红牌队落后,比分维持不变,共8场。
# b) k9 \) Z# u1 k* x 红牌队落后,比分红牌队还进球最终领先,2场。/ S: [, ?0 L# ?- J6 h) V: U1 K
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三:红牌时平局,继续平局,共19场。5 N J8 K0 D% k. x2 M- C
红牌时平局,无红进球,最终红牌落后,共13场。
4 N0 L1 F; z' B" l 红牌时平局,红牌反超,最终红牌取胜,共3场。: P9 }- e N {7 n: Q6 ~
---------这里红牌时平局,由于盘口会开无红让球,这时要买有红方,胜率更高。, K3 D+ T6 s) L! P
---------而且还有种常见的情况,裁判喜欢平衡,会罚另外一边再下一个,特别是如果红牌方是个强队,优势就更明显了。: k F1 x- Q( C0 \' g7 r. K
由于三这种方法的胜率不是很高,采取小注量投。
2 ^4 H9 M$ l# v" z; A6 m3 D" h4 h还有一点,队伍红牌的时间很重要,教练会根据红牌的时间已经目前比分和大致实力来判断继续进攻或只防守。, {: Y2 g5 V/ \; x8 h
红牌如果另一边也红牌,注意马上补上对冲,先红的斗志会很强。
! O, H) I- v* W" [% x* u6 }
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针对半场时0-1.1-2,主场强队或平手及以上,买主队反超。同时实力主队越强则成功率越高,因为主队的攻击力强,而弱队会很注重防守,也只会打防守反击。
1 n7 B$ j( ?5 ~ q6 j必须是0-1或1-2.或2-3,因为如果净胜球多了,两边都会继续进攻,弱队以进做为防守,而且已经2球领先了,可以放开去打。当然还要看联赛,是小球保守打法还是进攻型打法,可以差队伍历史战绩来判断。: n9 g \, \3 \/ N
目前今天晚上的比赛验证下是加2.5盈利。统计更多比赛来确定,并按联赛和差距来分。9 E/ x; j9 z' S. n- @% [
% t& H8 g6 Y- k
半场时,如果初盘是0.5,半场是0/0.5,则买主,胜率在这边,同时平手都可以退半,2 z* O3 ?7 x4 R) T
' Y2 @" e/ m8 h" t" o同上面一样,针对70-75分,可以直接买强队落后1球的强队,特别是弱队是客场,教练会换下一前锋,换上一防守型中场,2球应该也可以,毕竟自己是弱队,又是客场,保住比分就可以了。倒是可能1球领先情况下,不太肯轻易就换防守,万一这时进球就麻烦了。当然被进更麻烦,还是防守好。利用平输半,赢一个。
4 j( l$ ]) h$ F/ ~, \" }3 }8 f- g* R/ u0 O% W$ [
建立自己的基本面分析库,特别是分析方法,在现场看球分析。7 L5 F% c# t) u6 C
先从中超,及英超开始,赔率可以基本不看,只是买球是需要的交易工具。+ _7 I" [' Z% Q( i1 w
赛后再复盘。2 @8 `$ F9 A( [8 G
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