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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 & V. U2 d; @9 u6 f! k# g
# i2 t* k) k& f t: J3 Q) X3 `其实原文标题不是这样的6 ]6 j3 D3 |- z# k6 Z6 H# X
" V% m* N' M1 U/ ]) I3 |1 v" b这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!1 ^6 f0 w: B# [9 D
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
, H9 O, i- |+ E他希望能和上帝来场赌局。8 N8 Q, L8 a0 ?0 y& F
) o/ O1 u, H D$ {1 F0 n. ]
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。4 @1 o" s( C& ]7 W
$ k3 R; j4 I+ I u- ? 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
4 Z8 J' F$ A' s+ Y 1 X/ m k- x" \, t% N
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
7 \2 |% P% { ^- \5 }1 D/ U. m「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
4 t" K! p5 h, z8 W( ~' \: m5 |* [ v( ?6 o% n. t: V+ W
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
* a# B$ [$ u s1 X
% T6 d6 L0 I0 f, e$ U* o0 _# s# Z接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
9 D" T1 t6 w* v" H5 I因此铜板较容易出现正面。
) H, Z# Z0 X! a* G' f长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
" e- B& j0 _! c0 G, [) O2 ^; [因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。 I* R8 c) B- [" t8 e* N/ v: a
心想赢定了。% v. {' v7 t* ~2 h; |1 m2 f
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没想到开始不到半刻钟， C- A" a! i! U# ~% u M7 O W- Y; D
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
: ]) r$ N: O) J 1 R9 U' }) ^3 {3 v8 u: c) W' b# X
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，, O2 K2 y% n5 l+ K' `0 W/ C
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
4 D% Q0 T. }2 M9 S6 N d他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
% T+ I; i3 a+ T) A- B6 g/ N
上帝回答道：
5 n8 d5 B: y' A# L. }「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
+ v1 R, L! [8 y1 ` i+ Z! d$ y' F+ i「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」( u# x2 S8 Y* {! ^ F
「而不是先发生在我身上。」0 ?. E j; O1 g) B/ i" _, F/ N
6 x! s5 W& u1 t% v 赌徒恍然大悟，3 F1 P1 j: B6 t- i& C' Y! t2 y2 x
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
- K+ |$ d7 k5 u$ U8 h竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
, m# A! W: i% V' g3 X7 Z. m「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
3 I% c; b, B, z' D# k上帝说完便不见踪影。 + E$ n. S4 O$ e0 Y7 z
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
" d& E- [, p+ T若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，5 K! ~; a7 S+ h9 b; L
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
3 a3 ^+ A3 v' z, |对赌徒十分有利。
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9 A' [2 ~0 U+ N7 X5 ]! ] e但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
& Z& W$ f) L6 _5 G/ l$ C7 g: a, E在还没掷到1000次之前，
# P# b; ~) c- }仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
! a$ T7 s5 V' H2 k# i+ N6 T
+ W2 m i7 N6 p 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。0 R @; t$ r8 N3 e
9 k4 k1 g/ U/ e# k! @ 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
& Z7 k0 G+ ~* j4 P8 c& m: Y F; q* {/ t2 i8 W
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，1 M/ {7 L1 o3 d
& u8 w: s& W7 k/ E; |# m& n: {
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ . b f9 V2 }$ T9 o4 e4 q
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