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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
9 U/ d. z4 y; P4 [# Q( a) H' y# n
+ n7 s) I; p- Q4 D1 c7 i其实原文标题不是这样的+ Z5 [# g/ m \4 Z( l
! ~5 `: W! v! Z+ P2 \
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
! A+ D( j& a ]6 N: U0 v0 E9 a' t- o/ [
& v' S5 o4 v6 ]1 s) z
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...; q( A* m! B. D% E, H8 y; O
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。; A* f0 _% u- K- ?: v4 @
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。6 D0 Y8 ~ C% I* j. @) R) F7 e
/ Q% m2 O" Z; M+ i5 o 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
! h& N4 M/ a3 R6 L8 M5 ?& O $ u+ D0 ?0 w. I' ]3 ]' U$ e7 u# [
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
# G# E# D, h0 l ~' k6 Z「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
$ F& I3 k% C. _ M" e, E+ f3 C9 ?
- R5 |) ~( d* _+ |& ]1 [! ^0 } 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
% x, M- e; K& p: s# b 8 x+ f1 M5 r- P' f
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
) K2 G2 v; d; @2 w! C. ~4 G因此铜板较容易出现正面。
' s' S6 v- R6 s长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
: V. A6 ]9 N# `# _, s% o2 g因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
5 q6 }( q9 n5 H" q% E心想赢定了。# i4 B" F2 j5 e \( w, q4 a
+ N2 I# ~9 ^/ J# x# x0 ^没想到开始不到半刻钟，
: i6 M, N: j' n3 H5 ? t赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」2 |4 `- w9 _! M+ `" l
, H c+ a) C- J1 w* r& g赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，; R( I- E# A* r' u1 F' i
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
$ X# h) J6 d1 ~' |$ R0 o 7 F( n* ]+ n: e- z. M" M
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
: K9 f! }7 e! c# M J他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
8 D0 l1 |) O; S8 i/ t, g4 d
上帝回答道：
% W6 v |6 F9 | u! z「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
* l" I3 E3 t; p5 O, V V: {6 N; y' T「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
0 y2 E4 ~! S' s6 D' Q' m「而不是先发生在我身上。」7 Q/ L8 ~$ b# N9 M- }
/ W, N, J8 y) h 赌徒恍然大悟，
8 f9 t/ P3 @6 P1 g/ W# p: x原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
: [ B+ a# E' }% a: h! m% F竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！/ |6 p) |! D. |% b F8 r+ j1 x
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」 l7 Y4 ?0 T# Q2 s1 M4 ~
上帝说完便不见踪影。
2 I! q5 i+ w2 S4 I9 N
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
1 q: K- D) V Y% _若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，2 O6 a, E ~7 ~: }8 q* D. }- f3 o
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，$ m- ?( ]' X7 K# \% X$ [$ i
对赌徒十分有利。
( n% }8 S2 Q( c5 r" b. t$ K8 Q* J
9 k% }. b) u! W0 O! B7 e但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，; g. \$ I% X* I# e; G1 s
在还没掷到1000次之前，, P( \9 M# c# S2 h3 w# Q! R$ t" h
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
- u3 X) Z$ f' R+ l9 s9 p7 Y
: X% K1 _/ |1 a+ T% R 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。9 F4 v* J* Z2 J/ V- y7 S
/ A, Q+ R1 y. Z2 M4 ]" q 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
( n+ F; `4 o, \" t( \
- W+ a5 f* V4 n \' w 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
, S, x! X7 k+ y/ D r9 Y
$ R3 g5 R' {+ j l8 [ 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ ( R0 X8 E* M: S
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