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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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1#
以威廉为标准，只统计 英超，西甲，意甲 / a" @3 @$ d( o# h( R

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只跟踪一个联赛: Z6 I# c& a3 A- b3 ?' U+ b3 n
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全塞季  分别买 主胜，  平，   负赔2 n+ n9 V$ a9 x% C

* k( v" u3 I" N: [9 M* X2 b' x三条线  ，三年统计结果  全部亏水钱，积少成多也不少啊 ，最后收益差别不大，3 Q. N/ g+ u  r1 @

) U. n5 k# V/ J$ t: F5 x+ H6 T偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。
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方法：  全程跟踪一个联赛，一个塞季， 只买一边， 主胜 或负赔（平局出现相对概率要少）
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3 V% W% W: _# u" Y% l% S然后通过基本面或盘赔特征，排除一部分球赛， 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高， 只需要增高一点，
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就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱，  然后就是不断累积经验，多排除一些球赛，多赚一点水钱5 \5 z6 y" Q! x5 R. R
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当经验积累到一定程度， 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目( Y3 z6 ^6 m, M/ a! u

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亚盘没有统计，想当然，  低水胜出概率高点，  让盘方胜出概率高点，只有两个方向容易判断，1 M0 {% e8 b2 s0 h
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而且亚盘返还率要高一点， 选低水+让球方，一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪，开始肯定输水钱，0 U7 H; a! O" m0 S
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但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了，就可以把水钱赚回来。
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' G& P) Z; H/ {+ M9 a- {理论依据： 只买一边 ，一定不会让你亏多少，因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的，一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。. m3 e4 v% o* w7 p
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排除比选择要容易积累经验， 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ，比那些可能出现 要容易判断

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2#
以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的，$ ~+ F- i: p3 }+ w

! T5 L* |9 Z/ T但是每个赛季 5-10%， 是可以做到的，# l! ~7 c2 w! u0 C

6 I% |) N) {7 G4 M; ~4 y2 ^* {这比买国债存银行合算。3 h) T# e' X4 e& U
+ _3 v* W6 s' \5 c' X  [
在DC赚大钱的人，都是用高风险去博高收益，风险大利润才高，1 V& g3 p1 w! ~8 R8 k/ _' K

4 t% @6 W7 ^  u% S; z几次发现十几倍的负赔，就是不敢去，买了平，这就是人性。
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常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。
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放弃一夜暴富，放弃神奇的方法， 放弃高的胜率，4 _7 Q" X3 m7 {1 k

2 U( J2 H- N$ V* j$ E0 ^; u8 ~就是回避了大的亏损，
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大亏，小亏，小赢，大赢，  DC就这四种结果，+ T0 I  u( p* h& }  S
; \- b& s2 w8 ], I
回避了大亏，用经验避免小亏，就只剩下 赢了。

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顶起再慢慢看

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