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[虚拟币交流]
比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。
+ o, e& b: p" ]/ [( hRSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。/ E0 O' N A* e# m1 l
比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。1 ?8 W. I( Z2 q! K, l/ B$ t
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接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。& c- k, t8 p+ @9 c* L
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。
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$ W z7 G. d/ B- }随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？7 E ^# c! C- u% A- x2 U
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市场信心[激增]？
( i5 F/ H2 p# E4 I根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。5 h+ P3 H* T. Z/ u0 R
0 m/ J3 h$ l9 l5 ?2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。: B$ a8 P; j1 Z5 [4 \* M1 r
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随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。' z- e6 W; J! u" f4 O
. r1 M- D# V. l9 X G2 A超级持有者已暂停! N4 \% n5 {$ b K8 ?
尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。5 m7 `2 c1 [6 P$ q9 ]4 y
" t Y3 a3 B; Z1 L& ?根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。) B D# \0 i. ]; }: {( U* y
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相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。+ e' H$ M( b, E* B
* V$ d" I4 D+ B. Z即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。
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比特币显示出疲软迹象0 A$ ]* {1 B$ v3 j
RSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。4 U9 l: R) N4 X2 D' g8 ]4 j9 l
1 c0 B! u1 j1 a) t, p4 L* U此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。; w/ r* @2 `. Y8 V
$ Y* O2 k7 ?8 }; p: c- V- H尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。
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$ D8 Q' V; N; O% @7 J0 g% X如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。
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