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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。
! ?+ s4 V7 Y+ x' G4 {* \大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
5 Q: @7 v7 v9 [4 u9 I尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
9 m8 Z7 _7 A8 z( e
& V+ }1 E( ]4 r; r5 |随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。4 z3 z+ r, B: Z5 [5 c: x# e& z# e% I
- s5 z) f7 Y1 {" s' S
牛un云蒙上阴影
8 b8 [% J5 b- b9 U* K+ V* F) P2 V- ]最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。! y: P0 d. a. {) ^9 Y- F' `7 d
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即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。: U; |; T0 W8 w# A$ ?
Q: l, Y8 l: B, i2 z; O这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。; q9 j" K5 K7 b, Z# A
; N# `- y# V( ?& J: A# h
尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
& u" X: \( O7 {4 Y7 F! L6 z; p
* W9 x ^) }6 X8 P2 D# m; dBTC背后的机构引擎
( l& J1 G6 ^# u# c7 q+ ?6 x在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
! y) n- B' s0 A
. V4 @: I0 T# a" c这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。5 M8 {, x( L9 c9 Y: f: g
8 w- e" p3 c; S与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。9 d' }9 H# [* A" z/ e
# A$ ?5 N$ p$ N/ c& ~机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
# N% j$ Z' b/ W
4 z4 {( I3 A% e4 F& I$ U7 Z& \怎么了？
, N$ W# U- N* F$ I- j0 l尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。) G4 A- v# g1 v/ v' k# ^: s
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
3 j* s( d. Y% H1 N3 d( k6 C+ T% w$ r7 o" \3 v6 ~9 s) [8 U
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
* \5 j. h7 _, p& {, i/ x3 k' y6 B" k8 q! M
尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
$ W3 D2 _' l% \) q4 n& A; T, R6 |% w2 C, A& C( e& B/ {1 Z
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