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[lastpost] => 2764434 观点：比特币矿工或因看空市场正大量抛售BTC 1757576744 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。6 l# T' Z/ ?" f* e7 E+ b9 W! `1 {; G% U
, s! X1 I: b! K4 e0 ] ^5 ~- j由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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7 r6 o/ O2 {* \' a: ?9 Z比特币重新分配正在进行; K' l* V* J( p" o, R6 Q& ]
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。$ X) M. s1 U$ n6 _' |8 x8 b
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。7 R8 p' O" L) Z& F/ E
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。0 ^: U, m" {8 ~" }1 q! d0 h
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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5 }' L) @( v8 _2 x仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。4 ]9 w2 @' l# k/ V
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。' y9 ^" i9 ^/ [3 x
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$ j/ M; S8 V( g% g! |! G比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微4 s& ?0 A( C4 {9 ?0 `4 p
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。6 l4 v0 |% X$ k- L1 F7 C% W t/ i
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3 g/ l) e& I0 D& C) L一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。: z& C7 {3 V: H( |
% i9 ]2 z; l T现货交易商调整* e9 K7 u6 b1 l1 T$ x
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。. \; S& K, I: g9 S
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