Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯，数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 29040
[posts] => 473879
[todayposts] => 3
[yesterdayposts] => 128
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2787944 狗狗币守住 0.14 美元的低点，网络活跃度创三个月新高（转） 1765641905 小钱儿
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5079 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势8 ~+ q5 `5 E+ Y5 p) y
6 {+ e/ {; M/ }; Q过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响，包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率，以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。4 j. m4 \' M. V3 Y8 f# p8 d
8 ^# M& J' `0 N& e9 O$ b+ iPPI助推反弹：昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期，被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%（预期3.5%），核心PPI同比上涨3.5%（预期3.8%），这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。0 |* l% V" G( l0 z# B
; r# |& x/ y) J6 P& i7 v
CPI才是关键：今晚的CPI数据更为重要，市场预期CPI同比为2.9%（前值2.7%），核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平，大饼（比特币）可能重回10万美元上方，并延续市场的炒作行情。
( B- L4 A8 ?8 V$ T2 \, A; K
2 m# N. k( b3 m9 G0 L2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
$ Z+ d3 z/ Y4 L) q/ w! D9 [* F# o- ]; x5 y6 @; U
当前持仓成本：9 }! G) X: U$ T0 Z& L9 w. v3 p
# g3 X+ W. v2 m& v机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右；8 p3 m! J% _+ x3 n& |1 Y
3 }# M6 @8 n6 Q. g y% l: J3 y6 t
微策略因早期进场，平均成本约为6.2万美元；
' h( X! u# H0 Q$ t2 o* ]- E: h* e* O0 a' e# v
ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
4 P! B9 Q$ ?- t, n6 @* R$ E5 ~0 T0 v0 V8 {3 X" M/ C8 a
比特币价值回归：
+ p: ~: v( ^5 P- X) i+ H6 @% v8 U. Y1 M# Y/ G8 I j3 t$ R
市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕，当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。. r: G4 i4 q# }5 c
9 j% G3 A8 s; ~6 [( o随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备，比特币的流通将越来越少，机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
& n7 T6 c! |- t2 o) ]
) z9 c- E: ^5 I( q7 x8 ^( p加密资产的国家效应：萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心，吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
# ^4 `$ Z+ N4 P& X/ U% i+ k: \# A$ V" t7 g$ X& K/ i& b1 h
3. 市场热点与反弹情况+ g1 M, k5 l) \" Z2 m/ z5 d( l: _- b8 f
' i( u# d0 K* A5 F" }
ETH：& o4 }. E Y7 l' W. @$ R8 |, C
' H& V4 D1 ]& g# Y* x, j( n# v
虽然受到大量抛售的质疑，但以太坊价格总体稳定，汇率回升至0.033。/ ?, N0 r/ S/ _# {# B R
4 q9 N5 l* u) _: [+ R机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。; e9 Y3 {) l E1 l4 B; E
- F4 w y! J0 S& f
BTC：$ d6 M M1 b+ \ @
* x/ d0 G/ B/ [9 l; `* I2 O- Y6 l8 p尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售，比特币依然维持强势。% D+ g3 x# L5 i* N Y
3 W5 Y: ^# I, e ]& Q
如果今晚CPI数据利好，突破10万美元可能性极大。
9 ^8 L: q. ?/ @4 w! F6 L4 _& h' @0 w* f3 u" w$ y) v. Z
SOL与XRP：
* E2 |; V- n5 G7 \8 \, ^6 J0 [" I$ B* K# y& w, V& P7 K3 j
SOL走势强劲，被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出，或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
( R5 K6 U4 }. O. S# [5 Y v2 a# w6 ?' c0 N
XRP走势超强，多次占据韩所榜首，有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。3 D6 o7 [3 X6 C& z; E& I% l
# }+ C; X1 z9 B# H# w, v6 C. ?0 ~其他热点项目：
" w& `" }+ ^+ g9 L& q, i
' H8 K4 d6 L6 g8 h3 p+ J8 [6 t/ D涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。* N1 r% X! F7 H
3 u' E# B) H( ?( M( j, U
山寨市场近期普遍上涨，市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。& c% g& L* @7 }0 y4 y1 A @
' m' E9 n; C3 U
4. AI赛道与新兴项目
- M7 Y4 @" c! D) l5 H- K, b; X: {3 w* }) P! i) }9 i* ~
AI领域表现突出，板块总市值达160亿美元，近期涨幅明显。
4 V, F/ n* D7 i; S3 e' Q. G! y' O# t8 m
蓝筹项目：如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升，部分实现翻倍增长。
4 O3 ^+ X d- b. C4 ^# G7 q" N( |3 h3 g& }& G
新兴项目：正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健，例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。4 ~: V c0 M- G: D W ^
$ i: Q# g2 o. O: }/ x. M1 `市场展望$ S' ]% q' i% Z
& d( f/ \/ d' e
随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗，加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发，AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。( i y2 T/ Y0 J# \9 Z0 r
* |4 ?% e. W" u( j4 p |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13576 小时
本月在线: 27 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9031 小时
本月在线: 17 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19503 小时
本月在线: 29 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10348 小时
本月在线: 18 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 2996 小时
本月在线: 16 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
