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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
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当前离线
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
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' B9 n) w1 t3 _0 B过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。8 i3 c# t6 ]& C1 W+ Z/ k
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PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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* i( W- s: ^) Q& V& G" r D; FCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
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; ~ e% }$ N8 k/ G; [' G2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期$ k. M; C( v1 |! h# X( y3 _
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当前持仓成本:+ \) o* H0 k9 K, G, R9 N
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机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
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微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;
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7 d: `7 U6 v8 z- T( {8 m" \5 h2 dETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。5 n0 R ^( y0 D; `* l
7 H6 {) a' U- y! [) U& P比特币价值回归:
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/ g6 A @& f7 d/ l市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
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随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
3 O( w- a" \# x% z, |. \
! N. S) q4 I+ h$ c( I, f8 M* m. s; o加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。/ h- i% I5 _! Y
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3. 市场热点与反弹情况
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ETH:$ b4 Q' ^' z3 J; e6 M: k% }" l) c
8 U# m. }- V/ {* g3 G% p虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
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机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。
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5 D/ A! _6 Y" d/ h$ bBTC:$ C2 h. J. k1 i
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
9 Q! A5 g& i% `' k8 Y
5 Z" m0 ?5 B) n2 R如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
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. R! d& [! i: E! j/ OSOL与XRP:
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7 i4 t h! w! l0 i# xSOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。+ m8 O! Y) N0 J1 H% \, K Y2 ?
; q% X H/ D9 ~! K$ C/ M& a' \XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。5 [2 W/ G1 m8 n4 t; [
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其他热点项目:
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涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。4 N. g s5 v# F: Z
$ A1 C0 W9 l2 c, H4. AI赛道与新兴项目9 \2 N! ]) W) s. P- l5 I! S( }9 w
, E1 ]) ? Z( U7 sAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。5 h! j7 g- H% @4 b% c/ D$ C. H
- \3 F) d% J* w蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。. [* p$ ^9 w: D5 H8 e
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新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。3 H' O* L8 N o2 x
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市场展望1 O) ^! D4 o2 B
5 B U4 |6 l9 R$ b3 g* }随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。% T" f+ X9 \) ?
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
经验:
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策小分:
总在线: 2874 小时
本月在线: 17 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
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策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
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