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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
$ i0 m: H; g3 g( S- v! Z
( U4 O! H$ J/ f2 P过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。 M4 i- \' C& z* Q! v
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当# E( }" Q$ ?) J' C& l
0 x- c' F0 D- q! v1 _
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场7 l* C) ^4 n# r: \
8 C# v- X" B0 p8 L: z处于健康的看涨状态。/ k: [: J$ [3 t, }5 Z
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AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
+ E! `1 r1 @# \5 H1 m
( z& V$ q* n" Q0 B* x5 y U短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF. d2 ^6 g. ?) H5 `5 @: H0 S' y
; }9 Y3 ]0 j+ o' w- T R3 Q7 s# ?获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
; C" V& \, |* N* s7 J; U0 N
! |. t6 n) }0 B' O4 QAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
8 ?) n* O/ h" R) h: a0 t( y/ ^5 }
5 ^* b* K( j4 f- p7 UCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提1 t$ L& P$ Z% s k- O7 u4 w/ U
% B& \+ \) g9 l+ ]及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
" @8 `1 K A5 x1 K2 M& O: U( b6 C1 j3 F) R/ J
其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较1 S' m6 h; m2 y F
+ \: t) a- f. \2 ^* q0 {$ W7 a
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
2 D3 _; _# W7 n( ^" j3 q3 d5 W" L: G+ v3 J& u
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
. F, C# m( D! E0 ]' z
: q- l0 u$ p0 C/ x/ p. \然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF- o5 }% \# x0 k
! w" [6 J+ F% _3 k1 t) C申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。$ G4 M( j2 U3 g
0 }; e4 @, N* J( X8 V3 G9 f
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
3 E4 [% M- w$ b) L4 I: p: K8 {. P5 `! E# x/ v4 ^
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
- W6 D- d' Z- w% v/ I) q1 y: Q4 J* r
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法1 G) m8 ~' C6 b8 R8 f
" y3 v! k g6 q4 r继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
7 V! D2 h0 e- k2 Y, Y5 u% V4 A, q' s
9 I @$ @; z9 o5 q因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
# D' p# u, M; ]; u; o* i' D+ j( [8 i( U. [
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。2 G& L, T9 ~; a9 t z# |# ~
( X. [# w7 B* U [$ B
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