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[lastpost] => 2812891 今日虚拟币市场是涨多跌少啊 1773096410 whywhy
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人+ [+ Z% q& _7 Y" T* u1 C$ S
8 a! d# A* n% K: A8 a. W# q3 w认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，
) L# X) J: K& ?* J8 T2 M: y4 K1 {; ?
而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富$ c; K% L9 i L9 R+ P, h
3 Q4 g9 y: D! f的千禧一代。# ]' b0 `: [. G4 |; L
从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB
( _' u6 k' C: s2 w) Z( Y) Y! r6 G3 L
的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“1 d0 E9 {) [3 G" g! Q
; T" I" S' C/ P+ G9 L 时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加
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密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据
4 a$ a) A" X0 u0 B8 D3 p( Y9 s/ z# s, o1 V& W6 D: o5 l* j
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成: y" n. L C) D
' H( d, C' X7 }6 |7 L的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》
4 Z1 B' j* m9 R( {" O5 Z {! f$ a. r: M; h( W
报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；
1 d6 ]" e$ V* G6 I- t+ L V* h. z, p
10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为: P+ I2 V e& i: Z, D% _
+ X9 R3 X' E% }; k
ETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。/ ] T/ f+ ^9 u7 S- P2 S5 i
8 h% H6 m: h2 K9 @7 \6 `据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降9 V/ T6 j6 s4 Z% e
' K* C) _* `: h$ C( h' n息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。; R6 O5 F# p. H. Q9 K
{+ O2 [! g4 w, |3 F: o# G
与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密
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' P7 u. L+ @# K9 P; p5 S世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富
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. A9 r6 R1 }+ |) S; f, k传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不- N7 X6 t- G0 _, s# G* `
; ~6 s/ o7 j0 m7 O9 c' @
到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一( G: `9 X! x# Z& W% d1 @' F
, M" A, L8 g/ D代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成
Q3 K% J# a$ f" @1 C |$ E' t, c9 O* i
本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体
& _. L% P# U$ W1 h
2 X( |% r% {( a. ]% J" @; f系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货& l- m4 o; p+ o: K( O+ _
Y# W* l9 t- b3 M. {$ O
币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
; |7 w, [+ ]& k* U
! F% r5 o* U# `: o/ C: ^未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富
, H6 j$ x7 \! X R0 T; n) V0 B }0 L6 o* U1 e V- T! ~" z) N
/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。
2 ]& B# i5 Y0 P/ w2 `/ H
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当前离线
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