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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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! A: m# b0 V2 S8 f9 i4 J其实原文标题不是这样的 k3 p# h) x/ {" M3 U
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...) V: a8 w- E! z; c5 x' B, O' Z
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。( |, W7 A5 i- t7 |1 S
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。* h; l5 n! Z& B! V& P- H
P+ X( J9 g$ ]* [3 ?" O, U3 ^ 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
' D- L! K- p" K) i p 1 A7 ~* m0 B, R% r5 p0 Z( Q
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
+ ~4 k, I: @1 w3 B; Q N e「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」. h& x! M3 h, U1 F
/ d% I D( F0 ~+ P. E' V 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。6 H' s% T% T* A8 V; l
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
! r0 f: n2 d5 P) B; o* T5 g, C因此铜板较容易出现正面。
0 d9 U! G; Z* V5 g长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 5 v! s. g3 }* ? ]5 P- E3 ]
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
8 y+ O; c# O3 x0 v0 w2 g心想赢定了。
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4 t" \9 p; r) U( \; {- [没想到开始不到半刻钟，4 g0 H/ H0 a. W; \; S# g
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」. D- ~9 g/ {0 u# o; ]$ Y* R- n
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
7 G0 S+ ~4 J' [ P- d但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
: I; X" z+ B, a: c他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 . g- F V2 X8 E8 y8 l* Q) r% Y8 e. k
上帝回答道：
6 l9 D* ?: J E* X: Z「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
- G) R3 C, R, m V「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
: k: L$ d4 a& l! _3 V6 h「而不是先发生在我身上。」+ V9 b' B6 ]) D7 u% z! y* W9 M' y$ s
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赌徒恍然大悟，
) j! R& e0 T" ?2 `! v& x6 r原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
" c1 ?' H; V( A, Q竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
# ^4 ] V. x; U \「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」. G' @# p4 ?& L. E
上帝说完便不见踪影。 9 x" N' b) b: f% O' P) }
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
- O x& m) V! ]& p9 U若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，# y s4 e, f4 o8 [
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
2 Z& i. W) q! R5 K对赌徒十分有利。
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
% ]; W0 P( ^9 k8 p* Y u4 n在还没掷到1000次之前，& X) o. I2 h- e9 j4 T6 w' E7 V& s" t1 D: B
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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: j7 l' q& y) e W* ^/ u% B! g 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。/ y% N# }2 L/ Q1 T, K$ W
$ W8 Y4 W# [; K 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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3 Y/ F+ V! }4 y6 r( \( O 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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