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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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2 _7 n4 u) V2 I- M' O2 b$ a( s其实原文标题不是这样的
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0 G/ }2 t+ {; ?/ p1 M U这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!* v/ R5 B$ a( q: m: u2 j
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...3 t. _* q, Q3 h, N) x
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
& G/ q; x1 e" T' a. V7 W& B4 I: ^) a6 Y. \, \
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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( | @8 A- r) |" S$ M' ~ 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」5 Y6 Z/ I! {& c# [( ^/ p! P
# u/ a. @/ |( k9 |, ?, v
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ) z, H$ o# B( v9 ^+ W) S4 t% y
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
5 \( q- d! p1 X, L
; {( C3 Z6 C0 s3 I' J0 } 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。$ U' C0 z* E6 F9 J3 b; W
' S5 _$ i5 w% s接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
- I. o1 y, O2 p# W* Z) \' O4 L: J! S因此铜板较容易出现正面。. n1 M0 S, n2 A6 U0 s
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 4 t& G. P/ L9 j% S" |
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
! n, i( j9 U5 k7 G7 s+ y心想赢定了。
2 W4 G+ e$ q8 [( Q1 ]; W2 P
+ _6 ^2 }+ Z U# T2 e0 M0 B) q4 v5 F2 w没想到开始不到半刻钟，" S' \0 o2 A* H7 k5 Z- [0 o
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，, {0 f+ i' i' _, X6 O2 W
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
8 ^8 v# L& w- r7 O他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ) k0 L8 K( e5 V& y. m1 [: {
上帝回答道：/ t2 F& W2 I0 Q" F q
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
# k* y/ o9 I$ c2 \6 T3 m' ^& q「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
3 n& }) a: Z8 J5 ]「而不是先发生在我身上。」$ Z" [9 n+ e6 Q( n2 h4 K# e1 {" u" w' e
, g- z2 V2 i, Z& ~ 赌徒恍然大悟，% B4 p, I, m; V8 s, `
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
* O! a5 T$ ?* I2 J0 P竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
9 c. _! h' D' e: V「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」. P% X9 [+ a& ?6 `1 v V
上帝说完便不见踪影。
/ B& \; U6 O5 A+ K; C7 i8 n
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
4 M/ X4 ^0 ]6 k3 [若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
) L& Z `% X( `( H! |1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
7 y9 J; L4 \5 W; S对赌徒十分有利。
3 d% H0 o3 n! _) o* I , V: C: i# m1 E# o+ L# J) C
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
P6 p% G) v2 _' Q1 P在还没掷到1000次之前，0 d2 d2 O: p/ X' X/ a: U
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
0 W2 ^) H- V' C( z& u5 `/ E( O, P) }) C/ b
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。& Z6 n \* @. L8 f) f7 M
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
+ V* y6 l0 k# \5 z/ @' A6 q6 k" ~' }4 S3 k3 Z- O& _5 m- X3 E, \
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
3 L; n& W! ~0 h- ]& O/ D2 N2 S D2 V1 N' n
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 3 d: \$ S" ^5 ?$ u$ I- c& s
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