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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。5 Q1 L. z% E1 k. g2 u+ Q# Q
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。7 g+ A9 Q4 ~2 }8 V
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？+ {# q# c1 S( v9 l
+ V3 Y; y2 |$ d2 g& c随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。! k0 Z: l5 W7 O' m$ m2 `3 |
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牛un云蒙上阴影
% P4 b5 e1 s, Z* E2 S. u6 T最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。0 b. X" b) C2 |5 w
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即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。$ J7 r; j/ A/ j( }) L1 E
$ {7 I8 c' |. e% }: B+ W这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
& ^6 t3 e) H/ u; d! A
6 `+ ~# X" F- R3 q. q2 {尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
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) R: c' l0 B1 ]2 mBTC背后的机构引擎
, @' R3 |; j/ z- A9 D: z7 U. _ U在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
& {( C6 u6 V/ A. B2 M( b- C; F1 V. F6 G
这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。' t# T+ k' z# r8 v: W: Y
2 Z! Q3 G* m1 d4 N! T7 D( f% J1 n' L与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。& b6 @3 } T0 I. x8 A; Y
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机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
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怎么了？& e! z/ o! t' }: I
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
; s) }9 a, s% O( ?* c% f' g! a4 O
1 A+ D7 J" S) A2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
" Y8 z7 y) k- q; i8 x) y% c2 X, |0 ?% ^( r5 _8 |: p! z
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
3 Q! o) E) H9 C* Y# S! _) ?+ ]; k& d0 Q
尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
7 ~2 ?* u, b; ^3 i& H& E2 T! w4 t( g) D h' K5 |8 y3 f
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