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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字
- J6 A3 q k7 ?) q4 P| 起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
9 O/ ^" U* w- G$ m, V+ M德州扑克游戏过程中的概率
$ }9 I& t; y* ^. |8 z: f5 s# g玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。( ]) U6 q1 f9 ^8 E% s" V- h
6 _/ h% i; k9 x' M$ b' ~' R下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语. J2 c; w: F ^9 U+ N% }& `
5 b$ q' `; t& Y$ E补牌总数
' @( \' U5 y% v4 T$ kOuts+ S* ^. J Q1 [# w& X# N
未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数
' Y. B/ q9 e# _5 Z" B- m4 i8 S2 D“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”* b. c. \, A6 r! W1 r
6 @+ I; N# }9 e+ N
成牌概率
% x! n- F! j( A% A" j4 rHand Odds
Z7 O% f! {8 r" [2 d- ]形成一手特定牌型的概率
7 `) @$ f$ C9 i" u“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”
9 `) }* P: g+ W' F- M! F$ g9 e' j, w7 F' a, U- f0 o1 _# W
总注概率' T3 d0 B$ y6 m$ ^$ x
Pot Odds
9 q: S7 s% _. _* Z1 \你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。3 ~7 g6 r3 ~; m
' r+ H0 Q5 h) D# E2 O9 ^
下注概率
6 a( |. n, g* W( X& |; |9 aBet Odds
, g4 ?* p1 P, S* ?. e你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率9 { j; T4 F! ?6 v
“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”( Z& M- |! g$ M! y" l
2 d$ v; o& [+ ~7 u( p1 I% i隐含概率( R! B6 y7 P6 W9 J0 d2 n
Implied Odds
. T0 y7 Y i: v6 L' r/ e4 O通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率
3 A) z2 `3 S2 u, P: ~6 s6 L“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”
6 q7 k4 l* B T+ [
* ~7 y W' C0 A& U. f
; \1 W" ?, n* m" v% C' l下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:
' S% X9 M4 y3 B0 y0 v转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。5 r0 T; @/ v) n
+ Q1 t q7 ?, [0 b, z
反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。2 {( M+ c# ~( J5 q0 u; @* }5 x" A
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