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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 ) u4 S G5 v0 v) N+ @
行情补充、 3 r: c6 d* }% R1 K5 ^% T
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 , w, z# n$ z# @" I
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 " ]' R) w+ @6 u* t/ I$ o! @$ U
关于疑问、一一回复。
! x- k+ T2 _7 b" |今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 0 M: ~$ Y, F6 h. g
4 ]- ^ x T @+ D. m首先就个人的主观来说、 ; r, M; p* Z" x4 z5 T
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
1 x1 E) m1 e; ]. ]: v7 b极度憧憬市场的未来！
4 G3 e2 ~% c9 L' w4 Q5 |" B$ M3 W但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
/ J2 ~, F" f7 X0 R) D1 I7 b最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
' f3 q+ B. y5 D; u9 j. |$ L1 ? S而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
+ {; _' j4 _4 g% ]5 N4 Z1 ]- Q会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 # ^6 Z# {: ?) _ ?" s
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
5 w7 }% T$ \ u+ @其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 p, |' j# Z, t# P' E4 z. d
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
. `6 w' }7 t3 c- M为什么会跌、 ( V; _6 c9 \0 i+ R- ?. S
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 " A. g7 B: @3 R6 v1 M
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
& y9 d' f5 H6 m, b3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 % I4 r& p/ ^: w. t8 G
综上造成的下跌、
+ `( Y/ I W7 g$ T: ]. |7 O这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
+ [9 A/ l9 p N, L' l$ W( o也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
+ t+ d5 I* N* j3 s# @4 m) j熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 & @9 c' C9 N+ S. K) u- k! S
来决定行情是否好转。
% }9 w" M* @* t至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 ( A$ T% L. m4 G k* V
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. ! V8 ~# N! C2 a
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
* z5 [1 D; f8 {- g周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
: q$ q% U% F3 q a3 v4 w7 F那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 1 }% {! v. Q+ b
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
% n. o: h* h( f日内大饼反弹、
! X& E, M p! Z26150高空 ; R) g m/ j: ]2 g% B. g
26350补仓
# c; ~0 H& s% ? I6 C3 [# q! v26550防守
$ ^! T8 m& ?" F/ Z" D+ V6 f目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 4 N; ?0 |# d/ _. G9 r; V; i7 D
以太反弹
( I0 A# H# Q$ ]+ Z1380高空 # h1 E: I5 X- [* U2 t( h6 M# a# q
1400补仓 % N( P4 ?$ ?! C: O) s& F
1420防守
6 k& u: i* ^" @6 A4 B目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
! `; q+ J; I2 w- g+ K附言、
r& H) a& U# G& E( I6 p许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
8 N7 K2 ^1 Z' q6 D: f是正常现象， , L c; @: w9 e' I3 v. N
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
5 t0 x& }) V4 |. X# F对于市场、依旧未来可期。
5 ~4 N' t- p# e7 _大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
) X! i, R& j. n# \' S上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 6 _6 S3 T" d4 g7 \
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
+ X; J/ t% w1 B% i- D6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
2 ~" ]* k! ?' o" R9 m% f/ k相信七月公布时，会较理想。 ; h/ T$ L7 l5 |$ @
但现阶段，要承受的住。 " _* T k: O% Y7 C* L; j! J0 [
最后再强调、现货勿割。 , l+ o* r" Q& y& y1 l
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
F* ]! y6 A" _8 s/ J+ E8 U! b个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 . |" e% \ [; U1 B
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
! w9 ]2 |+ u" `# t5 l6 V/ R这个市场， . S4 T4 n) }. Z8 `3 \7 v
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 7 e+ Y8 \: ?5 M- I' ^, R
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
$ ?3 S/ x+ i* B q1 Q切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
+ N7 e4 {) C$ C% h& Q- [7 B: K. \但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 ; c( R% u) g& T
来源：金色财经 |
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