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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
1 y- R" D$ g; K7 N" H- h6 p A! q. M5 F, x+ L b) G. d X% l+ T+ D
其实原文标题不是这样的
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5 u; ^: M2 J$ A/ Q这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!0 r0 E* `- \' Y' G3 T9 _# W
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...; X6 `1 }! R: N. v `1 n; i9 `# y
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
$ P m; {( f$ N4 O, F' j2 l. l. J' i, H8 c
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。) z/ n, k6 e; E6 Z7 d( X
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
4 [6 Q/ B/ f5 n# i7 \& W+ M . H" H* |+ v% F: u! e) y/ N, M
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
, w( n7 L( s7 I# s* e「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
# B9 H8 h- e( }6 i( |$ H! p: {. G8 H; E; V' J
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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7 c* d R1 a3 F1 R0 R1 S# b接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
: H% t! k9 O+ v6 }: G因此铜板较容易出现正面。
5 Z( X& O2 I: _8 L7 A长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
( i; S4 {; G$ j; N2 O8 B+ [; g/ Z因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。5 O2 Z! A* z; b0 Y
心想赢定了。, R0 u4 d' [, D7 Y% j
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
' _* O- r# G% C# V; K: s& n: z: r赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」, U0 j0 w8 W% n( e8 v6 U) h
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
: s3 n. G) v) I% J* o8 Y) X x但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
+ J/ ]2 p2 K& ^+ {- I& ] 7 O; \, p0 B* c$ R: Z# r2 D! J
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?- w7 y5 F* W: t, G8 g0 v2 U
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：, {6 d w9 z, V" T$ v
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」7 C* R9 G* ~* s. A# _/ }
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」5 p M2 y, w- r) a) ?
「而不是先发生在我身上。」) h4 ]7 O- Z% s" r
$ r" L- c0 M4 d C: A9 @
赌徒恍然大悟，
0 F6 N( V, x4 a' ^8 o; x' j原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
) v- q& R3 T: A; z0 }4 S+ w竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
9 F4 d, x; `* \「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」, b4 j4 K- |: Z+ l" A
上帝说完便不见踪影。 1 X6 M- m' h" a+ e. }: Q8 ~
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，6 k- B8 J6 T# T! J4 S+ N$ p
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，& f3 l! W j0 F q) Y; a- a
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，- X5 ?4 e. X: B9 G0 A. x# b
对赌徒十分有利。
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，2 b* S6 o. F) c+ J9 Q4 e
在还没掷到1000次之前，3 _1 p6 k+ I2 R* C
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
8 y6 B0 C4 R0 K( G' }8 F# \' v
4 p& ~, I* K7 D( E 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。- |# `3 i" ?' e) U# v
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。0 L2 {7 g1 G0 M) O
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，! k! C# M0 h4 n2 g! ~# w; X7 g% r
8 I3 ]* x1 P+ E% }9 e; \ 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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