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[lastpost] => 2798096 Steak ‘n Shake 在连续八个月使用加密货币支付后，增加了比特币投资（转） 1768661843 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下跌，黄金触顶——但 Uptober 尚未结束（转）
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今年十月已经测试了比特币的[BTC]信徒。在通常被称为“Uptober”的月份过半时，BTC 发现自己处于陌生的境地，遭遇了历史上最糟糕的月中表现之一。
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但你看不到的是，比特币收盘上涨的可能性仍然很大，罕见的BTC-黄金图表细节也表明可能已经触底。
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Uptober 能否如期实现目标，还是说这将是它的终结？
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( v; e6 N2 ?9 t6 c4 R( j- a开局艰难，但历史看好牛市 S `9 y, Q6 W( ]( X3 ~
2025 年 10 月已经赢得了比特币十月份表现为有记录以来第二糟糕。对于通常看涨的月份来说，这是一个令人惊讶的转折。
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来源：Alphractal+ G" |/ X, G9 g |) k1 ?5 c1 Y
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15年来，只有四个10月份收盘下跌。但鉴于比特币最终上涨的可能性高达73%，胜算仍然对比特币有利。- b( m* d f4 R4 F) I8 I9 _
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尽管开局不稳，但许多人相信本月结束前可能会转为看涨，保持这种势头。
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( s- \$ O' q8 V* L) I事情变得有趣了
: ?0 [4 O* c5 e: q9 Z+ c1 N9 z Q7 {BTC/黄金比率中罕见的信号表明形势可能很快就会发生转变。7 @; M1 x/ W! o* B/ Q4 h
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来源：X
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根据最近的数据，该比率已达到迄今为止仅在主要市场底部出现的水平，而这些时刻往往是从黄金转向比特币的最佳时机。
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, y7 C# | R; N o7 gBTC/黄金震荡指标徘徊在-1.8左右，从历史上看，这与BTC开始跑赢黄金的周期低点相关。
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+ p; J6 k2 ^; u$ i7 Z7 u1 R' i. T Q正如 Alphractal 首席执行官 Joao Wedson 所说，该图表“基本上是在大声疾呼”现在是“出售黄金、购买比特币的时候了”。3 E4 O; J, f9 [3 D5 F O( i. h
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随着黄金价格处于高位，而比特币出现触底信号，风险回报方程现在可能更倾向于加密货币，而不是传统的避风港。/ P4 m- m! l5 U6 p1 |5 m
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空头在 10.7 万美元附近失去动力
% t$ ~0 x4 N) V: d6 H7 F+ E经过几天的持续抛售，截至发稿时，比特币似乎稳定在 107,000 美元左右。" x; L6 o7 s3 i; \# ^9 |; y' Z) _; B
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来源：TradingView# X, N; C- ~8 j4 T
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日线图显示看跌势头减弱，RSI 指标显示 BTC 处于超卖区域。与此同时，MACD 图柱趋于平缓；如果买盘活跃，则可能出现动能逆转。1 z! s8 N) t* r$ [- L
4 _" |6 I1 U1 I( s* D然而，BTC 的交易价格仍然低于关键 EMA（20、50、100），整体趋势仍看跌。
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* e: I; v y+ S突破 110,000 美元的决定性举措可能确认复苏，但在此之前，有点乐观永远不会伤害任何人。/ O# v' V1 m. v7 M) X
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这波跌得挺狠，但老韭菜都懂，Uptober还没完呢 |
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十月才过一半别急着下结论，比特币这货向来爱搞幺蛾子 |
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