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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者?(转)
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域,截至发稿时,交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元,而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。/ Z) }6 ~: M" e$ W) n4 \" \6 c1 i
* m/ H( d$ b# C& d6 l( s由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨,预计涨势将持续,并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。4 n6 W: t$ m) ]2 L; \
7 j4 E" O8 y5 {6 V1 |2 A' i% x( X比特币重新分配正在进行1 S* P9 b1 z) a6 _# k6 S# s
5 }& [( k( U) h, T0 p& b目前,市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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" i* ]! v# ]$ Q8 k. ?/ o+ \目前,这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类:持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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( t$ u' s4 ^. b# o9 Z6 b" J. A q然而,鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。9 |5 m" E4 Z5 ^5 D
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H* H% U A7 Q) z$ w$ ]; b A. r根据 Glassnode 的数据,比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位,这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。
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. B! ?, n: b- s% I q$ _+ }- s2 D5 r. \通过这种重新分配,特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配,表明这些群体的信心正在增强,他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。' o" c" D3 Z Y& `/ q. z
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL(净未实现利润/亏损)可以证实这一看涨趋势。" j \2 I4 w) C# |: T1 r
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当时,NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段,或看涨持续阶段,截稿时读数为 0.556,表明整体购买活动活跃。
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) c3 K$ J2 S; m& h比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
3 ~1 l6 {6 v0 k1 J/ R YCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明,在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。+ w9 {' y" L. n6 y2 |4 N
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本文撰写时,MPI 读数为负 0.8,表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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% {! x3 _7 u5 U- h& z. J一旦此阶段结束,这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC,增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。% m# [7 N2 J' q
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现货交易商调整- w% F& `: W2 N0 P
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪,因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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" b$ Q2 X0 |3 W% N7 H仅在过去 24 小时内,Exchange Netflow 数据显示,从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC,较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。2 C6 \0 Y+ i I0 a, e
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1 {$ Z4 X, G+ f; l7 O E如果这种购买趋势持续下去,则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变,与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。3 Q2 @' P0 B# `* P3 q
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