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[lastpost] => 2764869 比特币价格预测:中亚国家低调扫货 BTC 会否进化为全球储备货币?-转 1757639393 mxsj2016k
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势% P2 |+ ]% {/ r! @! Q; h/ e
8 W: u4 f5 g ~9 c$ G q过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。/ ?* p |0 e0 l- ?' ^
1 R+ x/ z7 p7 p% d' i1 uPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
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1 N/ R: U1 c' x2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
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当前持仓成本:
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( b) f% h3 r. N, x5 [) I机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
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6 Q7 f, f. _* m9 Y1 S; K微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;
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+ w; k/ T" e) q/ t* w% ^ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
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# p! t8 H9 X* A+ J* o比特币价值回归:
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市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
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随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。3 T. D# w" y8 E! a
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加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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3. 市场热点与反弹情况
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ETH:# c# J, X) q/ K+ U& p K
7 A5 L; d4 H- |$ Z6 {) a虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。/ P0 a% {2 l+ X: w/ _
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机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。. @- _0 n5 k0 V, d& L7 z9 R+ {
! {7 A, b/ B0 q6 q8 ^. B: DBTC:
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. J) ^0 d6 P& N$ j尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
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如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。( S* b) | @+ i1 R% m8 P# e; N
1 F; q6 U# C9 F0 u7 n; MSOL与XRP:
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SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。4 e; ~4 `5 w+ f6 @
8 \5 Q% l; O' A! S0 m/ fXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
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" ~% T9 S9 g& H" ?其他热点项目:
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涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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: { b# N3 Q! n% p( r1 S山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目- W: |; V* A" J
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。- z% K4 v: M; c& Z$ k- |* u% e
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蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。* U* h ], Y8 {- }
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新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
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9 G- G6 i8 i5 W% G& k% E4 _市场展望
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% E! D+ W5 P: T' s1 c3 C随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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