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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 $ F8 ?/ R U# l9 x0 d
行情补充、
! f6 k5 o# ~, a3 J在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 % w; G% r4 N! S9 T$ d6 n7 b
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 # O% D* J0 H1 ?+ ~; ?
关于疑问、一一回复。
+ [& Z' d4 F0 ~+ i6 S今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
7 k+ K: J/ s% h1 i$ Z
8 n1 f. V$ `, w
首先就个人的主观来说、 + [! J8 M" A3 H- j" X
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
: D% W) Z1 ^% H8 S. n: G! g5 N极度憧憬市场的未来！ 5 Z% O% ?% c# H/ \8 E
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 T5 L1 i! @0 {) Y% f S' [
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
# [0 U0 C' b/ }而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
3 d$ g4 V% Z7 q会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
0 M) b0 }: @5 x0 t6 [% o转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 ! }+ v, a& L0 ]7 A7 Y# L( q
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
G r# P4 t& G1 F（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 5 V7 ]4 {' F' A
为什么会跌、 3 t. n, ^% ~9 G
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 + Q0 f7 ]: {' f7 g) c1 C5 {% w
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 $ R2 f. V4 ]$ o7 ^0 G
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 3 v( m' A) B( h% T
综上造成的下跌、
1 r* e; g6 ~2 m. ~0 i这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
/ i7 f# f. j8 H' r& F也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 - s! H @* D2 v5 p
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
/ v Y/ _) @. }' m y3 h" A' L来决定行情是否好转。
6 k6 C. L" j3 A$ Z至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
" a+ [# d4 D& b7 c在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
+ T" J3 V4 X& ]: }/ }# d' d* w短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 ( F0 ~6 U$ [' |& @
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
: i# F, Q1 A6 O2 b( s( W A& g% q那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
2 N7 m6 y4 m7 i看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 P# o2 L$ w; \
日内大饼反弹、 ( m) L" B1 V, }" _" l3 b, J( k
26150高空 " {! y. i) a& F: R$ w' v
26350补仓
+ R9 T& @/ Q1 w26550防守 - X/ w4 [, S$ ]3 {
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
: @' f4 ^( i) Z h; {* r: V' i! C# j& @以太反弹 $ o0 R5 p L4 W7 m' F6 Q- g. L! p9 J
1380高空 6 r5 z+ J& f5 w! w& {' v
1400补仓
9 [6 b8 _% U; a0 P: A1420防守
r* N4 }. N5 @目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
. L. ]% u. e6 l& Y附言、 ( @. p% F: E, W; M7 O
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
$ d# l5 w6 E) P o3 @是正常现象， : ]4 C" N$ a% ]2 ]/ x1 L8 a$ n9 |. ^
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 + o% ?8 k- k) A
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
- d: E) N8 `) ~: c- B) Z% _6 h大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
7 o9 {' Y. c! _6 v* j上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
2 u. v8 [4 H S! F6 O' s5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
- Q1 t- {8 A, `6 s. O: W2 u+ ~5 x! h6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 $ c- V4 q! L/ u' k
相信七月公布时，会较理想。 $ W5 C" V) s* s' ^" S: }* U4 W/ ^
但现阶段，要承受的住。 6 A3 g5 d8 S; @" _) n5 `8 o* q
最后再强调、现货勿割。 + G" L) @/ P. s$ ]9 K K9 S' A7 s
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
/ z( `9 C( ^5 i个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 & Q! q6 p0 w; m9 H
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 / X3 X1 z/ R$ c/ j4 K
这个市场，
# L2 T% M# \2 u- ?" D4 G) ~5 u3 V4 J消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 " n3 {& g, D8 r# h
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
A" R2 P: |; F2 [. w' u/ b切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
. A8 U# b4 [% U但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 ( a, }/ t( I# q1 l5 j
来源：金色财经 |
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