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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
6 I3 Z, C" q/ _+ r% \行情补充、
% j: R7 |% j, t6 m( A在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 9 I9 I. M% J. Q
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 $ @ k! g( M8 ^- S
关于疑问、一一回复。 6 s- h C( ~* A: b3 s- t
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
6 p9 [ A+ E K3 ^/ z* t* \) ^
# T+ F3 @: d; s% A5 m4 y. c( E首先就个人的主观来说、 3 N2 k# y+ S+ g& O G( s
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
; w* J& |& p0 @! R+ C极度憧憬市场的未来！
. C/ L0 [. }; n/ n4 W$ T# C4 B0 Q' T0 h5 \但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
0 ?% ?7 B3 f( E5 n0 W L最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
8 V: N6 K; t4 E1 A* p T而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
# R9 e2 A; A! P$ N' v* K$ x( |) @会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 ; A: ]7 [7 B$ \7 h0 _
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 ; @8 U, m2 V# l
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
8 J8 F) {% J, @$ t3 i2 X( H（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 0 S& q* E' v' ]% [ n
为什么会跌、
) S* P: G0 @$ C( C. _1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 2 N# c6 M- U' s+ p9 @1 \! T* Y8 G( g
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
$ s& n* M- t3 w3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
7 f: H7 ]4 p$ z6 Z- |6 {综上造成的下跌、 $ L- Z8 B/ Y+ }/ W/ p4 N
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
) s" l% ?& R. v4 T1 T3 I1 Y也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 2 P4 D% A) M( q( j: f' {
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 5 T4 ~- F! ]0 z( I- Z; x; E u
来决定行情是否好转。
2 h) `" }+ l* C0 N至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 & f! z: x6 w/ ]$ F4 U; r, B0 \- Y
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
5 i, U& _ a/ P短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 0 u5 s% G4 J! H+ @$ i
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
2 V9 w" p0 x7 R/ f1 ]+ s那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
& F9 a( Y! p9 z5 J3 C3 e' g4 B看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 ! Y- c3 i& w9 w
日内大饼反弹、
( v3 L+ S$ w) y9 Z+ @9 B26150高空
6 }. S/ s9 D8 D# s+ V26350补仓
* A$ {" Z0 E4 a3 U6 Y26550防守
& p3 |7 a [& q目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 5 z( D& I0 \8 g; S& p
以太反弹 0 N4 b f) b* x& O6 u4 f$ K) }! r& A
1380高空
* @) O% o# f2 [# i6 S1400补仓
# h! m' Z7 I3 ]9 I8 x7 p# w. e# r1420防守
- _: p; g7 M! U6 N/ p目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 8 ~- W; k. P$ b. @# t9 P6 S3 m
附言、 B$ ^' P) t% @6 t
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
6 C1 z3 D9 l4 f+ t" a是正常现象，
4 A3 ]" Z, ^6 X' t: {合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
+ J3 k, B9 X' M! y: s9 M3 {! G/ m0 z对于市场、依旧未来可期。 _5 g$ g2 s" n9 e# z
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 / E, \6 y% e8 n# d) |5 D' m1 x
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
( u, }1 I$ a' v3 b( M6 \6 [+ }5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 6 a/ K( c' \- L+ N! s8 S+ {+ t
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
4 X- M8 d" @+ A; {+ C4 t- [ g+ P; ~相信七月公布时，会较理想。
2 D6 `. y5 D7 D+ ^6 j' ]$ t. V但现阶段，要承受的住。
/ b& g7 h. L* D/ v- I4 u4 z2 D最后再强调、现货勿割。 . o, I; ^: g- k( u9 t' F
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
) K) m, ~0 {% M" m) T; L个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 + }- d8 m/ e, L$ o! M8 U5 u
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 , T! _+ d- `& X0 S! N
这个市场， ( I# c) H6 W; m, O/ g$ c( F
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
& @8 y* `& S) w1 y最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
1 G% b( r6 Z0 T7 h3 {9 S切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 # R/ G& V* B' a1 L; V% w G
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
7 |' ~! F7 A" f0 R% T3 [* N来源：金色财经 |
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