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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ! o# G( i! q3 h. _8 W! D0 P _ B
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其实原文标题不是这样的# k, Q3 ?8 A) B/ j9 J: x
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!' {9 `/ ~6 q$ t$ ?8 I% k& G
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
0 A( w* F: v9 X V0 u; D他希望能和上帝来场赌局。! O5 b7 I }+ H3 v1 A3 [: ?7 q
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
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# ~0 @+ o; y4 E/ o「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
/ \; |/ Q/ u! q, m「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」. `1 u* y( g% h1 Z5 v: b
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
$ |- ], `- C% X; X因此铜板较容易出现正面。
; ^6 Q& \, `; e& Q& ^& L长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 ( J- G: H! R" W S
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。6 h, H" M$ |- _% }
心想赢定了。) D7 W) t2 V" Y7 s. N" L8 W
$ w+ V# h3 Z- k没想到开始不到半刻钟，
8 G F! O) c" I, [赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」. L) r% Y, r: ?; B0 D, [; _: B/ I4 i; s
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
& A" i- i- o, c1 d# i但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?( q# F* V! v- r ]9 _
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 m: {6 [8 T3 Z" g7 A
上帝回答道：7 r4 g( n/ B1 v- X- V8 _
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」6 r- Q+ \. }2 K0 z+ ]+ x m
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」8 Z2 @+ X* |3 G w; X5 o
「而不是先发生在我身上。」' L0 q n( M# V" p3 I
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赌徒恍然大悟，
- \4 c f6 `% T/ X2 Z, V& F原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，6 I7 Z1 \" J: z( e, J- D; ] A/ k6 U
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
; b6 Y8 b# F/ p, B「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
c* W! C) Z+ `& q6 V5 ~* K上帝说完便不见踪影。 , J$ ]3 V% X% \4 x& r9 {
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，8 ]! a1 m, u3 |% T4 O, a( x
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
\2 }1 Y+ K; l* D1 A5 I1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
$ d, F: L9 M' X, d! j7 [对赌徒十分有利。* V; r2 j: d7 D% K: c! `
+ ?6 r6 e+ ~2 W1 a* S% ^& M) [但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，0 D4 a, S7 J# |# K
在还没掷到1000次之前，7 h3 Y0 c8 P) u1 `$ _3 _; G7 Q
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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. d: N& y% T4 o0 @9 O3 S7 | 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。: B) ?1 d5 R! X2 \1 m% r
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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) Q8 q% _) u, q: Z 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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