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[lastpost] => 2760735 【YZ】8月26日投注流水75095元 1756454320 rainwang
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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字- Q. E0 r' f/ J! R }8 S
起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
0 f, F0 G8 B6 J5 h; b! e0 ]# n; i德州扑克游戏过程中的概率5 w/ M: n, i3 a0 o. `' e" o" u$ V
玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。4 @* P' N. }; h, b9 H! D
3 G( p/ v0 a# z
下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语- @$ g' @, T9 ^! l% x& _
0 K" F+ I" n. E4 [0 r
补牌总数. [. c4 v# k& x
Outs# j# V! ?% H1 j) R9 s; |
未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数5 r9 s3 O F, j1 \6 a
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”
$ B4 p5 A- {* ~% C! ?4 k- b9 d" O9 d$ g6 ^/ `# Z/ E, s9 l
成牌概率, K0 @2 v+ V9 p
Hand Odds
, ^! e X" X/ S; _# ]4 W形成一手特定牌型的概率! h1 O/ Y' a/ h1 ]2 u# S+ E, s, Y
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”
F' L( r, c8 f" t( |5 u
2 b; f: n3 `" O1 f+ g/ l& g总注概率7 @5 c! r6 U' \( R! i/ v: n) x1 E
Pot Odds: _: F# `- v. d% U; G
你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。6 P _. J+ ]% W' x: ~1 \
" y8 P* N M. \% d下注概率
, F- F) c0 A; sBet Odds% h( r6 k. f/ Z
你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率$ D! Y9 e6 E$ g% O8 Q5 y. `- |
“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”1 k! }9 [. b( {, }
! k# g; j$ f: t2 i8 b8 w
隐含概率
5 _' h0 A% p6 h4 b( GImplied Odds( y* R; ?- t4 K6 O* N
通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率
1 U, J |! \) }: z( z/ F/ u1 `# s“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”, G$ }/ z: m/ ]6 ]6 `1 V
" f. f! c L" v, e2 g" w( [
L, Z3 R! J- b: I8 K# f9 `下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:- d% p* j. o& Y; p# M0 r
转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
- Q/ O- o! _1 F/ s$ \% m; R& |4 e# {( k4 T1 R& G$ }8 }
反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。. `7 B- S8 h9 O" l/ f( K; H
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