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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。8 X( e& n" h- F/ j
" {' a1 f1 Z# J; |. F- z2 W9 y由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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比特币重新分配正在进行) O1 e" N: T( U5 i5 ^% x
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。- g/ ~, {) T4 h5 [2 U. R
2 U* x$ C1 I, x6 p+ d) m+ F* X目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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4 p( `# p( u3 A/ q; t然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。
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5 [/ u8 A1 `2 v4 G, z通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。' E! G( Z$ m& ] T2 {9 Y7 m' Z, F
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。" O; Z& J p* l4 x6 g
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。- k0 |% \( @7 T3 {, r( n
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; V4 U( R9 f( L* S比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微2 S- d# n9 {: F* E& S
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。3 j* c# y) ]3 L% K7 T1 X0 w' f% i
+ z* z+ T0 ~4 M6 m; A, ~2 Q本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。+ z' C' T; c, x0 ]8 g3 y& M; F: \
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。
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* X4 S% B9 `3 m现货交易商调整* ]' d; y- g- `9 R/ E \. V9 B6 g; ~ ]
8 x4 W* F2 x/ z8 J/ ^7 _4 m# f现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。1 S( f* O2 y% }/ O: r
3 z- o% D) w- ~& w& c ?" @" o仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。1 ?! M7 k" s- u) m# R
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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