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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字
; V9 I9 D7 L, L8 v+ a) I起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% | ! ?2 q6 N6 B! g# m7 u: J2 d
德州扑克游戏过程中的概率; j/ O6 Q* ^3 G" G) q! s( x
玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。
7 U1 S5 T x; f. M8 S
( R9 x6 G6 R9 v, M4 s0 V下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语
8 X+ ~+ O! J( F V! l, @, H4 @- F9 s" y/ b0 d. f$ b% U
补牌总数
, E# {: Y2 a# s/ [# R- uOuts9 G: ?7 X" D) C! B2 Z% f
未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数4 Z( A/ ~0 z6 I; w; X, x% Q( G
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”& o( x7 x) s( i$ r/ _, p
9 V' d$ g" i, E1 [$ ?) G# ^' s6 ~
成牌概率
+ t+ W r" i9 T6 MHand Odds( r$ d8 _2 T+ c9 \( E2 F- X/ g
形成一手特定牌型的概率
) w8 K' N0 U1 |+ C4 W1 ]( D% p: o“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”
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4 Y3 O8 {) }9 w% K- B7 z8 H总注概率
( C$ n6 q- T& @4 d6 o/ x; rPot Odds
5 H9 {, H* `: ~1 \, a: [/ L你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。
% M" |1 h5 B6 S" V) d* O1 I }; Y! f; S( |, y) w7 q' b" \
下注概率$ m/ a$ c. ]1 a' O( c' e! f/ d
Bet Odds0 w# H- q& _% ]2 O5 o# s, }7 W
你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率
9 T- `' b; v x: E) U: F- h8 x“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”$ s( X v5 ?# s6 a
$ u5 H! h5 D( E- U7 w# I6 B% x隐含概率
# Y4 g7 F3 X: {7 J. Q% sImplied Odds2 S) ~' q# s$ k; \4 |+ h; U
通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率& Z( {2 ?# }8 U) }$ F
“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”; M d- m3 x% }- ]& Y2 O
6 A" g4 K, d- d" w9 H2 q R$ @1 ^! \+ p) p5 b7 ~" {
下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:; s9 l& R. Y" T
转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
# q( L, b: C$ Z1 L x1 }; g3 p# a& B) \5 a0 x) a
反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。" F/ G2 ^% X" n) w' }+ f, ?' q
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