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[lastpost] => 2762493 高盛、花旗等担任Gemini IPO承销商 料每股17至19美元-转 1756950338 lvaeyou
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。 + Z- d; Y+ H* Z0 n; t
以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因.
# D8 K' Y5 x/ I" d此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。
+ | ~: O: E- D% l5 ~' c以太坊基金集体亏损
" j/ p, h8 J( V3 S根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。
, e7 A7 N$ Z; {' x( L与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
5 A* `( e& e3 q( ?; _" J1 O' k) z) d与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。 6 \! p* L8 `1 J4 d% f2 J
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流入/流出加密资金(按资产)
, R% ~( y' t X. O4 `. _这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。
1 K7 t! Q+ b# u' z1 z: ~2 Z% M以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。
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7 P4 {: x7 A% r' R/ S$ _2 u6月5日的TVL以太坊 3 @2 j4 |8 ]# a' t A' g) A8 ?, I
但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。 2 h9 p) q2 v4 v, H
宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。 5 N) N M5 v( Z4 ^6 ?
男性讲述金融时报: . \& a- Z% b: h: ~: R& p0 g! N; W
“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面 1 D z! q2 }( ?
自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。 6 b! l. Z+ Y8 x$ B2 H
具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
! X8 O7 f' f' h; T根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。 @5 r4 h7 _8 x- S
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, o# M# H; j6 X2 k2 K( a8 EETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置 + n) G, |' s# H' w7 e H( c
如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
4 z* @* K$ Z3 @& d交易所的ETH储备正在增加
8 t! K& f2 q( \ v' zCryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出.
8 P( j9 }! c5 \$ }自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。
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# e1 q/ R! s* v以太坊外汇储备
3 W9 [- q1 H. ]6 O' _$ \通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。
. E, J; ^( T, `# g; B2 O& c: ?来源：金色财经 |
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