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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 8 O" v0 ] F8 G2 {( d5 G' e1 U3 n, h
! k% T8 U% I% u其实原文标题不是这样的
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e1 G$ R4 C$ p6 H+ z; B这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
& A/ b$ H: u0 u! a- q0 o# }$ e他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。. T7 u! h5 y9 y b: p
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」/ d! x: I" e) _
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 2 y, W7 z6 N- ^; e8 c4 ?
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。" _0 I( D2 ]5 T
* b& F/ J! P/ o$ O4 |# e接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
, d3 e, ] ? f# [ n: L4 o6 l4 Q因此铜板较容易出现正面。
1 S* K( @$ B- O' a2 ^( R长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
) W5 P0 O' [, Q: |+ R% N) A0 w因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。' I8 D6 d' Z* U. Q$ V
心想赢定了。
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u; a; q) E0 B1 i. a没想到开始不到半刻钟，
- R% a( G/ z: y! ]8 s赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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, ]5 {. a8 v' e赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，6 v7 P7 a* J( I$ P8 `+ k4 {
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
6 ?# _6 V; Z. _2 D' {$ C他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：+ O& X, c2 D0 N3 x7 n9 |4 X6 i2 W' W
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
. y5 D( A' b6 O# m「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」/ F+ i) n% |7 N9 p, _
「而不是先发生在我身上。」# |3 _; a4 \1 E0 c: X# k
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赌徒恍然大悟，
: J) m* x/ Z+ L0 r- C4 G+ e* y原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
( r8 m0 |9 z& o* r$ Q$ R竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！' W' K0 G5 x) ~- S7 X& m/ ?
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」' l7 R5 }% A$ G7 H' T, Y
上帝说完便不见踪影。 7 g$ ~: g4 J6 ?8 D
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
2 p2 Y6 u/ f9 a& H# e/ q若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，- W0 o2 U- f J) ~' _" |
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，& P- `2 K. s7 r9 Y6 _: z6 K+ \* |
对赌徒十分有利。8 {8 Z0 r4 M- \% o' f6 b; G
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
8 T' |/ E* P+ I0 m( ?* b! K: k在还没掷到1000次之前，( A& S: _2 N$ {2 z. g
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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; j- o' J% h+ R5 |# ~ y. @" w9 n' W 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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4 l* e; G) }1 n3 X+ k4 y 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ ! b3 r- g, x; ^1 Y6 w2 H! c
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