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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字
9 |7 l! \5 z( Q( p7 K8 G起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% | ( f0 ~' @4 s9 i, J
德州扑克游戏过程中的概率* e7 [/ d# w( \1 m2 ~$ d8 P
玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。3 C6 R& C. ?1 Q; F: W* e
6 K$ i' ]7 T9 Z& ^& B6 K下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语
8 a: A( y! q0 X! u9 c4 j$ z/ ?9 g- c! g. y0 M
补牌总数
5 D0 e# ?, j$ ]! B* I4 rOuts
, x3 f# O5 j M: R未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数. L8 Z1 i; t1 V
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”9 I" j, G7 R( j3 x( V, g J) O8 h f
; A, J; M: a T成牌概率: w2 Q0 F. U" S; F* b1 X
Hand Odds
! K1 `' m K) t V5 M) o6 x% L/ K3 E形成一手特定牌型的概率: y* f B# M7 h% a/ f
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”! f' @, ^% J6 V7 U5 S7 H
" E8 m6 i7 G$ G总注概率
7 |: a& k/ }# |" U: l: [+ VPot Odds
, e5 M( v% k1 Z2 r, l你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。
6 p7 m) `) Q( z5 F: R2 O1 n6 [# I4 q D% D: W& R
下注概率 |" o: B6 c0 @, N- T# {
Bet Odds
4 M1 w6 X% K9 u你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率) T+ `# \" @- S! A7 M
“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”$ ^3 F: m0 U3 f+ P. m
4 ]/ A( W% h( y! ]$ J: n0 K3 O+ q
隐含概率+ O3 A" n9 g6 \& i4 K) {% s% z3 k
Implied Odds5 ^) ]4 _5 x7 ?; X/ n" b1 y
通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率
2 @& Q2 g$ N- T“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”8 q7 R, |' O+ i) g# i* i
9 {. p2 O- X" G; f6 M
2 U! [) P% D' i: o$ G! S下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:, W4 N) n' x2 @
转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。3 [ P& B7 f* L, B8 ~2 m; P
- s: a% H6 }+ Z0 q$ m; k# e反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。% ?0 j6 y( [" h8 g( T z
: V0 w, @3 J' i& o" K. W% q4 W |
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