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[虚拟币交流]
比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。! W0 B7 L$ F& j. k7 R
RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
: i- O1 F1 r$ f8 Z" K8 d, T# d& _比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。; `: C8 F3 g/ b; i, ?5 u! A k
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接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。
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* s* l6 D0 s$ U$ M" h随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？
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( y2 q' S8 I6 x* b市场信心[激增]？
7 m$ n; o7 i$ F+ t$ q) J2 f根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。
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( z' u2 M! [* U# F2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。
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随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。! I! c+ c! }' C" }; V
9 K! `/ M+ [& q5 a, p- |超级持有者已暂停
, E' p7 j O/ Q/ `" P$ H尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。
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8 ~* ~# u+ n8 h) W+ x& L4 M* v根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。 A9 \$ u0 c7 \+ J' T7 r
5 n6 @7 U1 g' Y& V4 J相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。
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! {% p+ h2 s5 b( D" w% Y即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。' j7 y6 ?0 j! g. L5 Q! Y: |# [$ _
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。/ x& w3 l7 M8 C% I- a" S7 v- u
8 g N) n1 }0 ^3 G' Y# c4 b0 T比特币显示出疲软迹象: e; E+ r4 j7 ]# Q5 {# Z
RSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。) I3 s% L6 c* g( `( C7 E
+ o( V' H: D/ F0 `- t" a此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。: w* o1 E$ D# K) u+ @! [: ?
' N2 k T6 P# g2 V% j- ~/ V3 y N尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。# j' C: y6 W, l3 T0 H- y
" B V/ k& t& x8 }3 f! P如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。
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