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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份) o5 c4 b$ b9 x$ n
; N: A* z4 U% v+ U8 @* c; o. o- k报告中特别强调了这一论断。6 P) g5 {3 p8 @: y/ |! R) |! @/ `* d" s
美元抛售推高比特币
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8 J: g2 ~- M+ f( N5 lGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以8 Y, d* b. r; u$ h7 V3 j8 g6 N
+ x; f* ^& S0 u* ^/ z: ^
来的最低水平。/ o% j$ \* s% o" s- t. u ~: \: i
' J" E( ~& d: U“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。” F6 T8 s4 k2 l4 E0 y( e/ E! p
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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1 y) ~$ `1 X2 g6 p' \; r# g数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。! o# x# q z9 Y4 w, O( p3 Q) b
( ~. B9 W$ v7 W! z6 S+ }* \6 pAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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% L* V, Y; V0 ?$ _" K& f高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化6 W( \9 d; c9 I, h$ `& z D+ j9 B
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剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
9 ?" B( W* W2 ~. v4 E% c- M5 t" a4 v+ ?8 V' g6 n0 L' W
了8.7万美元。
% O4 V* j% _$ _' ]2 w/ H2 O
+ H" q# h1 _; w1 B) ~; _然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，$ [# ^) X+ U9 v
) P2 w$ X! h3 K+ n, C4 k+ X' g“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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! P; f( Q( H: _- ~- { y3 X分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
j# {& J* G4 b# \& N, u f- q
3 ?4 N& }0 T8 S8 H“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
! _7 T' f. I2 M1 Y
4 j7 w! j8 O9 e: Z2 GCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
* Z& B1 t/ \, Z. [1 ]' i6 @: U2 j5 A1 E) |. ?4 _* [
易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。8 R2 I+ U. C8 u
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