Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 29289
[posts] => 477762
[todayposts] => 107
[yesterdayposts] => 102
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2796758 比特币:为什么机构而非散户将决定比特币的下一步走势(转) 1768309639 22301
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 1489 小时
本月在线: 5 小时
|
|
BTC在过去一周中恢复了适度的恢复,徒步旅行2.81%。3 o& A, s) g4 f. v8 z
比特币的杠杆比率下降,因为投机需求降温,而现货需求上升。
, ]& @' c, J: I/ e" x6 t: g在过去的一周中,比特币[BTC]继续向侧面交易。实际上,截至撰写本文时,比特币在上升0.22%后的交易价格为07.052美元。) L4 c) x! R# Q- b8 a9 f. C$ f
$ Q' X/ |0 K9 s/ _此外,BTC在每周和每月的图表上分别远足2.81%和2.89%。# ]8 z, d4 M; J% {4 @
2 @4 k( J, A ~' K6 V- G: W# m最近的价格泵提出了有关哪些因素驱动它的问题。 Inasmuch,加密分析师Dan提出,BTC的杠杆比率降低,BTC的机构需求和长期积累的较高。9 S. x" G- `; }' r
! s1 V( T- l" x& V比特币的杠杆率降低
8 K$ Z5 N1 u2 f1 _根据CryptoQuant自11月21日以来,比特币的杠杆比率已下降。杠杆比率的下降表明,相对于集中式交易所可用的BTC,开放利息(OI)正在下降。
, f" D' O! j6 ~0 Y4 D
& w1 o+ E- W" r# n# U从历史上看,较低的杠杆比率降低了清算级联的风险,从而使价格动作更有机而不是衍生品驱动。
* v1 z @% x- t7 _, w' x q$ ~/ \' k, E' B* S
同样,相对于价格,OI到市场上限也有所下降。这种下降表明,价格图的收益在很大程度上是由现货需求而不是投机驱动的。
F3 ~0 J& ?) N" m
1 j( G. u8 Z4 P/ [: k* k卖出比率也证明了这一趋势,这意味着随着市场的降温,较长的头寸即将结束。6 ?7 @) @' L# G: w4 A' E
( f, L9 G0 A: @ I; @
值得注意的是,至关重要的是,CEX储备还经历了持续下降。在此期间,BTC在购买比特币ETF的同时转移到了Coinbase Prime。当CEX储备下降时,这意味着可以出售的BTC较少。 Coinbase的流量增加表明,大型参与者,尤其是机构正在积累。$ Q& L( ^5 h# U! T% L! f
$ ]9 Y$ u1 J9 \" ]4 o+ `, A
当所有这些市场行为融合在一起时,这意味着比特币目前正在看到健康的市场。价格不是由杠杆驱动的,使未来的集会更加可持续。
# m4 J1 l. m F2 {& U. q& E. M9 C M1 t2 X7 m- l
这对BTC意味着什么& ?+ ?/ p4 u3 G3 L8 c8 C4 d% m
随着杠杆率较小,机构积极积累的杠杆率较小,这表明市场正在经历强烈的看涨情绪。
/ R0 p% A, V Y7 R3 j" @& z
4 T0 H( E) Z+ @3 Y, r例如,比特币的Coinbase Premium指数在过去一周中一直保持积极。这不仅表明了美国投资者的积极情绪,而且还提高了机构的需求。9 h# }! b. o8 w- l6 i
4 w6 O7 w) c4 v% d5 i5 v9 l2 B8 ~
从历史上看,机构的需求更高,在提高价格上涨方面发挥了关键作用。
) I }6 y( B. `
0 U5 w7 I9 [2 n# z6 O/ U此外,比特币的基金市场溢价在过去的一天中飙升了积极。当这变得积极时,这意味着投资者是看好的,渴望的短裤以保持自己的职位。
6 A5 `. u8 }+ u+ J& ]6 \3 \0 \# a
6 V; v J2 I. G" i. F! g这意味着渴望的价格会在短期内上涨。
0 t$ F" S2 d d+ ^* H
$ Q7 q( ^6 ^6 b D最后,市场参与者越来越积累,流出量超过流入。 Exchange Netflow已下降到-2.9k,随着投资者继续积累,反映了更多的交换提款。
9 n$ V( ]2 F' ^ d Z8 v; `
# B! J0 B8 L0 c$ S/ I' `读 比特币的[BTC]价格预测 2025–2026
& G- B: d9 |5 U% V C& R
# k1 X7 a4 {; i+ K$ w简而言之,随着零售和大型持有人的积累,比特币正在增强看涨的势头。这种市场行为表明,BTC市场已经冷却,将加密货币定位为进一步的收益。
3 `4 R, x' z7 Q) V8 f
) ~4 J% ~$ c; c5 V如果这种情绪成立,BTC将在短期回收$ 98,127,然后尝试突破至$ 10万美元。随后,这里的回调将使比特币降至$ 95,800。
/ v; F7 J( K) j- z( a# o; J u2 D |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10421 小时
本月在线: 19 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13637 小时
本月在线: 26 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19588 小时
本月在线: 36 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10380 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3032 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9060 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|