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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？
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比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。$ D! i* |, f+ A1 P- [) j# `
6 _4 A4 r I, c/ s随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。: t5 S* R9 y( C. r; {! W
8 i9 g H# {; q! M( q比特币价格分析
! b# }0 A a0 M6 z2 h6 ?. Y尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；
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$ q; L( P Z% R* c& _* \8 |崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。8 S+ s5 X" _+ l* J: f- w L
`# ~: @0 `% l' H7 `3 q然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。
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目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。
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& T7 j; V; p- q o3 ]预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。
8 x& y5 v c; ?/ f& p! S6 ?
2 R0 R- J3 d7 h+ E富达在12月30日引领外流4 }& l; V0 X/ L. z7 o
随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。
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$ Z# a5 M. s1 ?8 U6 ?比特币交易所交易基金
- m! |2 S" ^4 ^7 ~- O% b! c( m) @富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。
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BTC价格目标* R9 c4 L3 V$ F- R
随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。; R. |' G0 Z3 [7 A) e
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在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。
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另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。
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在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。8 Z+ u' L& P, H# S# ~
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分析师点燃2025年的希望
+ ~6 w8 A& ]& N1 {尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。4 p: H/ A) s3 _! Y' u: v/ n
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Martinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。
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' d6 S9 q! S, q1 E' [" I在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。5 n) ]9 q" L8 L+ H
( U4 f% h& y& V( b: d: rAlis对比特币RSI的评论
9 o4 \6 y& j- B$ C" D3 s结论2 i/ b8 z( r% b1 \
比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。# {8 K, @7 ] ~7 M
5 `1 \7 t' l7 `5 d; _然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。% _7 m( G3 o2 ^' @; ?
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