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[虚拟币交流]
比特币可能在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元:分析(转)
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分析师Ali Martinez认为,比特币可能会在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元,然后出现大幅回调。
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比特币与前几周的剧烈波动不同,过去几天一直处于持有模式,没有出现重大价格变动。* h% V, q0 z% z* R& B5 }
6 Z: S9 H/ @. T6 S D4 K自11月13日比特币达到93500美元的峰值以来,它一直在努力走高。虽然它经历了温和的调整,跌至86682美元,但此后反弹至92600美元。
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在过去的六天里,比特币在8.9万美元至9.1万美元之间波动,价格没有重大变化。在这个被动市场中,参与者既谨慎又兴奋,预计会出现大幅下跌或大幅上涨。
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Y3 ~! K3 O8 D' }+ X9 o/ Y与此同时,像Ali Martinez这样的分析师正在研究历史趋势,以预测比特币的下一个可能走势。 {* ?5 g* M4 @$ Y* c
! T0 S: R6 N% B: V* Z# V7 \历史表明,比特币在大幅调整前可能达到13.8万美元
: T5 A3 w5 R) q! \" _; T在A更新今天早些时候,Martinez指出,在2016/2017牛市期间,比特币价格飙升了156%,超过了首次大幅调整前的历史最高点,首次大幅调整使其价值蒸发了39% ;
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同样,他指出,在2020/2021年的周期中,比特币的价值增长了121%,然后经历了32%的回调,抹去了其中的一些涨幅。基于这些观察,他认为比特币在面临首次大幅回调之前可能会达到至少13.8万美元 ;
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比特币牛市可能在两天内爆发,目标价为15万美元. p% a8 ^+ t; B0 d. i
与此同时,在后续帖子中,马丁内斯强调比特币正在密切镜像前两个牛市周期的模式。! C9 Q [1 B* X' \2 ~* c- B% [! O
8 ~8 Q' r: b0 K A, L他之前曾指出,在比特币上个季度夺回19700美元的峰值后,它飙升了26%,然后巩固了一周。整合之后,价格大幅上涨至40000美元。* s; x# u* f* W
5 o, ^9 Q5 v1 s/ J8 m6 f值得注意的是,在目前的情况下,比特币已经比3月份的峰值73750美元飙升了26.7%,并且自达到93500美元的新峰值以来,在过去的六天里一直在巩固。
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) B3 U, g# @3 D$ c因此,马丁内斯相信如果历史可以作为参考的话,市场可能会在未来一两天内再次突破,目标价约为15万美元。
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牛市后调整期间的潜在价格目标
. V( I/ i: s. }值得注意的是,15万美元的目标与比特币的历史趋势相一致,在经历约30%的大幅调整之前,比特币在超过以往的历史高点后通常会上涨100%或更多 ;
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如果这种情况发生,如果比特币首次声称15万美元目标如果峰值接近13.8万美元,则达到9.6万美元。
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$ z, ~7 T g$ @' X与此同时,Martinez强调了8.3万至8.5万美元和7.2万至7.5万美元的价格区间,作为市场从看涨转为看跌的潜在支撑区域。5 A, ]; `3 H6 S$ T$ o k
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